2025 was one of three hot­test years on record

Study also finds heat waves have become the dead­li­est extreme weather events

Exhaust gases billowing from the chimneys of a large coalfired power station in Taean, South Korea. November's UN climate talks in Brazil ended without any explicit plan to transition away from fossil fuels.

This article was written by Alexa St. John and was published in the Toronto Star on December 31, 2025.

Cli­mate change worsened by human beha­viour made 2025 one of the three hot­test years on record, sci­ent­ists said.

It was also the first time the three year tem­per­at­ure aver­age broke through the threshold set in the 2015 Paris Agree­ment of lim­it­ing warm­ing to no more than 1.5 C since pre­indus­trial times. Experts say keep­ing the Earth below that limit could save lives and pre­vent cata­strophic envir­on­mental destruc­tion around the globe.

The ana­lysis from World Weather Attri­bu­tion (WWA) research­ers, released Tues­day in Europe, came after a year when people around the world were slammed by the dan­ger­ous extremes brought on by a warm­ing planet.

Tem­per­at­ures remained high des­pite the pres­ence of a La Niña, the occa­sional nat­ural cool­ing of Pacific Ocean waters that influ­ences weather world­wide. Research­ers cited the con­tin­ued burn­ing of fossil fuels — oil, gas and coal — that send planet­warm­ing green­house gases into the atmo­sphere.

“If we don’t stop burn­ing fossil fuels very, very, quickly, very soon, it will be very hard to keep that goal” of warm­ing, Friederike Otto, cofounder of World Weather Attri­bu­tion and an Imper­ial Col­lege Lon­don cli­mate sci­ent­ist, told The Asso­ci­ated Press. “The sci­ence is increas­ingly clear.”

Extreme weather events kill thou­sands of people and cost bil­lions of dol­lars in dam­age annu­ally.

WWA sci­ent­ists iden­ti­fied 157 extreme weather events as most severe in 2025, mean­ing they met cri­teria such as caus­ing more than 100 deaths, affect­ing more than half an area’s pop­u­la­tion or hav­ing a state of emer­gency declared. Of those, they closely ana­lyzed 22.

That included dan­ger­ous heat waves, which the WWA said were the world’s dead­li­est extreme weather events in 2025. The research­ers said some of the heat waves they stud­ied in 2025 were 10 times more likely than they would have been a dec­ade ago due to cli­mate change.

“The heat waves we have observed this year are quite com­mon events in our cli­mate today, but they would have been almost impossible to occur without human ­induced cli­mate change,” Otto said. “It makes a huge dif­fer­ence.”

Mean­while, pro­longed drought con­trib­uted to wild­fires that scorched Greece and Tur­key. Tor­ren­tial rains and flood­ing in Mex­ico killed dozens of people and left many more miss­ing. Super Typhoon Fung­wong slammed the Phil­ip­pines, for­cing more than a mil­lion people to evac­u­ate. Mon­soon rains battered India with floods and land­slides.

The WWA said the increas­ingly fre­quent and severe extremes threatened the abil­ity of mil­lions of people across the globe to respond and adapt to those events with enough warn­ing, time and resources, what the sci­ent­ists call “lim­its of adapt­a­tion.” The report poin­ted to Hur­ricane Melissa as an example: The storm intens­i­fied so quickly that it made fore­cast­ing and plan­ning more dif­fi­cult, and pum­melled Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti so severely that it left the small island nations unable to respond to and handle its extreme losses and dam­age.

This year’s United Nations cli­mate talks in Brazil in Novem­ber ended without any expli­cit plan to trans­ition away from fossil fuels, and though more money was pledged to help coun­tries adapt to cli­mate change, they will take more time to do it.

Offi­cials, sci­ent­ists and ana­lysts have con­ceded that Earth’s warm­ing will over­shoot 1.5 C, though some say revers­ing that trend remains pos­sible.

Yet dif­fer­ent nations are see­ing vary­ing levels of pro­gress.

China is rap­idly deploy­ing renew­able ener­gies includ­ing solar and wind power — but it is also con­tinu­ing to invest in coal. Though increas­ingly fre­quent extreme weather has spurred calls for cli­mate action across Europe, some nations say that lim­its eco­nomic growth.

Mean­while, in the U.S., the Trump admin­is­tra­tion has steered the nation away from clean ­energy policy in favour of meas­ures that sup­port coal, oil and gas.

Focus­ing on energy might help in fight for cli­mate

This opinion was written by David Olive and was published in the Toronto Star on December 31, 2025.

In Mark Car­ney’s telling, he is still in the van­guard of fight­ing cli­mate change.

That asser­tion is, on the sur­face, dif­fi­cult to sus­tain given the prime min­is­ter’s appar­ent retreat on the cli­mate front.

Car­ney scrapped the national con­sumer car­bon tax soon after he became prime min­is­ter in March.

His “nation­build­ing” projects under con­sid­er­a­tion for fast­track­ing unveiled this year include fossil fuel devel­op­ments.

And the high­pro­file entente Car­ney nego­ti­ated between Ott­awa and Alberta in Novem­ber unwinds major cli­mate change policies of the Trudeau gov­ern­ment.

The con­tro­ver­sial “memor­andum of under­stand­ing” between the two gov­ern­ments effect­ively green­lights a second crude oil pipeline from the Alberta oilp­atch to the B.C. coast — a sis­ter to the Trans Moun­tain oil pipeline (TMX) that began oper­a­tions in 2024.

The TMX reduces Canada’s reli­ance on the U.S. mar­ket for oil exports. Almost half of its volume in its first year of oper­a­tion went to non­U.S. mar­kets, not­ably China.

The start­ing point for Car­ney’s energy policy might be an off­hand remark he made in one of sev­eral reveal­ing year­end tele­vi­sion inter­views he gave just before Christ­mas.

“I am a politi­cian, but I’m still a prag­mat­ist,” Car­ney told the CBC.

Canada con­tin­ues to fight cli­mate change, Car­ney asserts, but with a more prac­tical approach.

“Cli­mate change is con­tinu­ing remorse­lessly,” Car­ney said.

In address­ing it more effect­ively, “there is a moral imper­at­ive, a moral oblig­a­tion to future gen­er­a­tions,” Car­ney said. Act­ing on that imper­at­ive, in Car­ney’s view, requires more com­pre­hens­ive policies.

They con­sist, in a nut­shell, of ramp­ing up pro­duc­tion of both “clean energy,” with major invest­ments in hydro­elec­tri­city and nuc­lear power, and fossil fuels, because “the world is going to use hydro­car­bons for com­ing dec­ades” under every scen­ario experts put for­ward, Car­ney said.

For Car­ney the ques­tion is: “What kind of hydro­car­bons are going to be used?” The answer, he said, is “low cost, low risk, low car­bon. If Canada is going to con­tinue to sup­ply hydro­car­bons, it needs to be low car­bon.”

Mean­while, Car­ney said, “we’re going to grow clean energy in this coun­try at a scale never seen before.”

Is it pos­sible for Canada to become an energy super­power, a trans­form­a­tion that Car­ney has prom­ised Cana­dians, and still meet our net­zero emis­sions tar­gets for green­house gases?

In Car­ney’s vis­ion, squar­ing that circle is pos­sible with a new approach. That approach is to develop every kind of energy source, and to pair reg­u­la­tions with sig­ni­fic­ant invest­ment.

“We have too much reg­u­la­tion and not enough action,” Car­ney said of the energy policies he inher­ited.

And it’s true that with all the reg­u­la­tions, lim­it­a­tions and bans imposed on the energy sec­tor by the Trudeau gov­ern­ment, Canada is still far short of meet­ing its emis­sions reduc­tion tar­gets.

Car­ney vowed that his gov­ern­ment is “one hun­dred per cent focused on doing things that are going to reduce emis­sions.”

Those things are going to cost scores of bil­lions of dol­lars. They also prom­ise to gen­er­ate con­sid­er­able eco­nomic activ­ity.

They include low­car­bon liquified nat­ural gas plants (LNG), a new clean elec­tri­city grid in B.C., clean­power inter­ties between provinces, the mini­nuc­lear react­ors Ontario has under devel­op­ment, the world’s first zero­car­bon cop­per mine in Saskat­chewan, and a huge wind farm off the Nova Sco­tia coast.

Car­ney expects that most of the money for those trans­form­at­ive projects will come from the private sec­tor and not the pub­lic purse, a con­trast with the $34­bil­lion Ott­awa spent build­ing the TMX.

The memor­andum of under­stand­ing between Ott­awa and Alberta is something of a tem­plate. Alberta gets favour­able Ott­awa con­sid­er­a­tion of a second crude oil pipeline to the B.C. coast; removal of planned Trudeau­era caps on oilp­atch emis­sions; and a lift­ing of the fed­eral oil tanker ban off the B.C. coast.

In return, the Alberta oilp­atch builds a mult­i­bil­lion­dol­lar car­bon cap­ture and stor­age facil­ity that removes 16 mega­tons of car­bon from its oil and gas pro­duc­tion — roughly equal to tak­ing 90 per cent of Alberta’s cars and trucks off the road.

It also removes about 75 per cent of meth­ane emis­sions, a more potent con­trib­utor to cli­mate change than CO2. And the oilp­atch must pay more than six times the cur­rent indus­trial car­bon tax — an incent­ive to decar­bon­ize.

For Canada to pion­eer “decar­bon­ized” hydro­car­bons is, Car­ney said, “an enorm­ous oppor­tun­ity for this coun­try to leapfrog the United States.

“The United States has taken its eye off the ball on this — they’ve really down­graded it.”

So, the goal is to become a cleanen­ergy super­power, an advant­age over rival hydro­car­bon pro­du­cers the U.S., the Middle East and Rus­sia.

Much of the money to trans­form the Cana­dian energy sec­tor will come from abroad, Car­ney believes.

“Vir­tu­ally every­one wants to do more with Canada,” said Car­ney, who spent much of 2025 trav­el­ling in Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East.

In addi­tion to Canada’s polit­ical sta­bil­ity, “we’re an increas­ingly con­fid­ent nation that has ambi­tions,” Car­ney said. “So, people want to deal with us.”

Long a target of backlash, ESG looks to be headed for a rebrand

This article was written by Jeffrey Jones and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 29, 2025.

A storm of new business risks and a shift in government investment priorities have converged to force a rewrite of what ESG is, and even what it should be called.

The concepts of environmental, social and governance – once a hot market trend – have long been the target of a backlash in the United States. MAGA Republicans, especially, decried them as “wokeism” that held companies and investors back from their main objective – making money.

But this year, simultaneous geopolitical and trade disruptions and crises affecting Canada have prompted experts to assert that the triptych, as it has been known, is being forced to evolve.

Climate change is still intensifying weather-related disasters, and Canadian companies are still tallying the environmental and social risks to their businesses. But now, other concerns outside the traditional ESG realm have entered the discussion.

So, what will ESG become? As a capital-markets veteran, Milla Craig, chief executive officer of Montreal-based ESG consultancy Millani Inc., lived through the fallout from 9/11, U.S. bank mergers, the financial crisis and other disruptions. They showed that nothing remains static, Ms. Craig said.

“You can sit and hold on to your views and your opinions, or you adapt. And I think that there’s a bit of reckoning right now. There’s a phase as things grow and come to a marketplace,” she said. “Now, there’s a pragmatism.”

She argues that ESG now encompasses items that have not traditionally been included, such as energy security and economics, affordability, a focus on sovereignty among Indigenous nations and Canada’s Arctic, as well as cybersecurity and artificial intelligence.

“I don’t care if you call it ESG. These are business issues. These are topics that are being focused on by capital markets. It feels like it’s actually the mainstreaming of all the things that lay out within ESG, but they’re just becoming what a board needs to be looking at. It’s part of the materiality,” Ms. Craig said.

As an ESG and sustainable-infrastructure analyst, Baltej Sidhu has noted the expansion of what fits into ESG and has predicted that the label’s days are numbered.

Mr. Sidhu, of National Bank Financial, said sustainable investing in some cases no longer excludes the defence industry, for instance, or the materials that go into its armaments, as security concerns grip parts of the world. This took hold after Russia invaded Ukraine, he said. Some of those materials are also used for green technology.

“In the past few years, we’ve seen an evolution of what ESG is and what ESG isn’t,” he said.

“At the outset, it was very green, and I think it’s widened its breadth and scope.”

The risk-management tools developed within ESG for climate and societal issues are now ingrained in business culture, even if the acronym fades away, he said.

This evolution is not happening in a vacuum. Domestically, government priorities have shifted, as Prime Minister Mark Carney pushes to get major industrial projects built to blunt the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff war.

Mr. Carney, previously one of the foremost exponents of climate finance, has pledged to loosen or scrap a number of the previous government’s decarbonization regulations as part of a memorandum of understanding with Alberta, which wants a new oil pipeline to the West Coast. As a quid pro quo, Alberta must strengthen its industrial carbon pricing.

Yrjo Koskinen, professor of sustainable and transition finance at the University of Calgary’s Haskayne School of Business, believes carbon pricing remains the best tool for reducing carbon emissions, even if those moves over all have upset environmentalists.

Yet companies are still embracing the principles of ESG for managing risk, and collecting the metrics, if they see it improving value for their shareholders, he said.

“Even if the term ESG might be retired at some point, I think the activities are going to continue, maybe under the sustainability label. So the death of ESG is highly exaggerated,” Prof. Koskinen said.

Mr. Carney’s government has also called for some provisions in anti-greenwashing legislation to be scaled back. Several companies, especially in the fossil fuel and financial sectors, complained that the legislation prevented them from publishing anything about their environmental records and ambitions by putting them at risk of stiff financial penalties. Many removed materials from their websites.

The law firm Torys recently reported that 91 per cent of the largest 200 Canadian companies published a sustainability, ESG or climate-focused report last year, down from 95 per cent in its previous study. Meanwhile, it said “materially fewer” companies used the term ESG to describe the report.

Millani’s surveys, however, have shown that major investors are not backing off their own commitments to sustainable investing, including demanding climate-related and work-force diversity metrics as they evaluate their holdings.

Climate Engagement Canada, whose members, comprising several institutional investors, seek to push the largest industrial emitters to reduce climate-related financial risks, increased its membership in 2025. The group now collectively manages $14.5-trillion of assets.

In addition, there is still money flowing into ESG-related funds, both public and private. National Bank Financial reported net inflows of $1.5-billion into Canadian ESG-focused exchange-traded funds from January to November. In the most recent month, there was a net outflow of $161-million, though most of that was driven by redemptions among large institutional funds in the NBI Sustainable Global Equity ETF, the bank reported.

Long-term investors remain active in private markets. Investors plowed US$20-billion into the second iteration of NBI Sustainable Global Equity ETF, making it the world’s largest private fund targeting the energy transition.

Among other big deals, Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec bought out Montrealbased Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. for $2.8-billion.

The law firm Torys recently reported that 91 per cent of the largest 200 Canadian companies published a sustainability, ESG or climate-focused report last year, down from 95 per cent in its previous study. Meanwhile, it said ‘materially fewer’ companies used the term ESG to describe the report.

The effects of cli­mate change begin at home

This Letter to the Editor was written by Samantha Green and was published in the Toronto Star on December 27, 2025.

Two key Toronto cli­mate policies appeared set to be shelved. Then the pub­lic spoke up, Dec. 9

What cli­mate impacts are people exper­i­en­cing in their homes? Impacts to their health. Cana­dians spend 90 per cent of their time indoors. As the cli­mate crisis wor­sens, the build­ings we live in can either cause harm or help pro­tect us from extremes. Across Canada, sum­mers are get­ting hot­ter and more deadly. A max­imum heat bylaw in rental units is crit­ical. In Toronto, we saw 24 days last sum­mer in which tem­per­at­ures exceeded 30 C. We don’t know what next sum­mer will bring, but we know access to cool­ing saves lives.

The Build­ing Emis­sions Per­form­ance Stand­ards Policy, revived by pop­u­lar demand after hav­ing been shelved, will also deliver sig­ni­fic­ant health bene­fits. Its emis­sions­reduc­tion require­ments will drive ret­ro­fits that could help pro­tect a build­ing’s res­id­ents from tem­per­at­ure extremes; the install­a­tion of heat pumps with air fil­ters to reduce expos­ure to wild­fire smoke; and a trans­ition away from gas, improv­ing indoor air qual­ity and lower­ing asthma rates, espe­cially among chil­dren.

We shouldn’t be sur­prised that res­id­ents sup­port these policies. We know we need to drive down the emis­sions fuel­ling the cli­mate crisis and to pro­tect our health from cli­mate haz­ards where we exper­i­ence them most: in our homes.

Sam­antha Green, Toronto

Hey, Gen Z: It’s not the end. It’s a new beginning. Seriously.

This opinion was written by Doug Saunders and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 27, 2025.

PHOTO ILLUSTRATION: THE GLOBE AND MAIL. SOURCES: GETTY IMAGES

Don’t lose hope, Doug Saunders writes. You’re not watching the world end – you’re about to build a new one

If you are under 30, there’s a message you’ve likely received many times during this painful year: You’re inheriting the wreckage of a once-great world, and your life will be less prosperous, peaceful or productive than the one older generations have enjoyed. You’ve heard it apologetically from your parents and their peers, ominously from the media, and perhaps angrily from your own mind. You may even be among those who’ve vowed not to bring children into “this world.”

I get it. The unprecedented period of global growth and betterment that lasted from about 1990 to 2010 predated your adult life. Instead you’ve watched, over the past decade and especially over the past year, as older generations and their leaders have crashed the planet ecologically, allowed autocratic-minded figures and intolerant extremists to seize key parts of the democratic world, set out to replace human labour via resource-guzzling data centres, and left you a future seemingly without decent jobs or affordable housing and a catastrophically diminished world order.

But this is a dangerously shortsighted vision. Today’s end-time pessimism is a fallacy. It’s built on path dependency: the notion that the downward curve on the graph will continue, that the current decline has become irreversible. And it’s built on this century’s underlying belief among liberals and moderate conservatives that we must be passive victims of history, rather than its agents.

In fact, it is much more likely that Gen Z has come of age at a fortuitous time. We are not approaching the end, but coming to a beginning.

People who are young today will very likely be the heirs to the greatest period of rebuilding, growth and new invention of this century – not as a matter of choice or ideology, but out of urgent necessity. They face a role comparable to those who were young in 1946, when the decades of rebuilding after the Second World War had only begun.

At that time, surrounded by the endless ruins of nations and institutions and economies and the threat of terrifying new technologies, prospects for the new generation looked grim. The young adults of 1946 were surrounded by severe inflation, unemployment, food shortages and the worst government debt in history. Western countries struggled with fears that the forces of nationalism and authoritarianism that had propelled the war were about to come sweeping back, supported by a miserable generation suffering declining living standards, without any of the glory of the war years.

Yet the opposite proved true. The boomers inherited an era of renewal. The rebuilding of the world’s economies and the creation of new international structures and institutions led to the greatest explosion of economic growth, well-being and international co-operation in human history, one that propelled two decades of full employment and upward mobility and an unprecedented spread of democracy and human development.

This comparison might have seemed hyperbolic before the catastrophic events of 2025. The collapse of the United States into a shockingly extreme form of far-right strongman rule – one that even cautious and conservative analysts now freely call fascism – has rapidly threatened the security, institutional and democratic stability of the free world. It became a global threat earlier this year when Washington made the promotion of extreme-right and racially intolerant governments in European democracies its official international-security policy. “The decades of the Pax Americana are largely over for us in Europe,” Friedrich Merz, Germany’s conservative chancellor, declared this month. “It no longer exists as we know it.”

And 2025 capped off the three consecutive hottest years in recorded history, leading scientists to declare that a dangerous atmospheric warming of 1.5 C (at least temporarily) is now unpreventable.

That occurred as the United States, the world’s secondlargest greenhouse-gas emitter, withdrew from virtually all climate agreements and aggressively pushed its own economy away from renewable energy and electric vehicles and toward coal, while constricting global trade with punitive tariffs and shutting down the world’s largest sources of humanitarian, medical and military aid.

After a decade of democratic governments backsliding into de facto authoritarianism and illiberalism, this year marked a nadir: The Sweden-based International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance declared that 2025 saw the worst decline of democratic freedoms this century.

Unlike the Second World War, today’s global emergencies won’t have a clear end date. The rebuilding has to begin while multiple crises are still taking place, and while major countries are opposed to solutions. But that also has precedent: The rebuilding of the 1940s began before the Second World War was finished, and often before its end was a sure thing (the United Nations and the Bretton Woods institutions that still regulate the world economy were being created while the war was at its peak). And of course, that age of rebuilding took place amid the Cold War, and thus on two isolated but competing tracks – one democratic and one authoritarian – which is also similar to what’s happening today, with China’s share of climate rebuilding already substantially under way.

Building a climate-resilient and non-emitting world, and restoring the world’s institutions of governance, economy and security in the absence of the United States, will be a massive undertaking that will occupy decades and cost more than any project in world history. It will require, and create, great amounts of economic growth over long periods, and will be a major source of employment. Current fears that artificial intelligence will destroy job markets will likely be answered by this need: Given the soon-to-be non-growing size of the global workforce, both human and non-human employment will likely be maxed out, for a considerable time, by the looming demands of such projects.

In fact, the rebuilding has already begun – albeit only in some places. Both Canada and Germany this year elected governments that wouldn’t otherwise have been very popular with voters, but won rare cross-party support because they were singularly focused on building new institutions and relationships to replace the hole left by the disappearance of the United States, in security, trade and climate. While you may not agree with the targets or quantities of Mark Carney’s or Friedrich Merz’s security and “nation-building” investments, their popularity speaks to a mass public appetite for programs intended to build a new world rather than tear down the old one.

There will be an era of rebuilding, even if we do not know when it will fully begin, how long it will last, or whether it will fully succeed. It will not be the product of a choice, a specific ideology or belief system: It will arise from necessity. We have brought the political and ecological challenges of the world to the point of unavoidable crisis, and the sane majority will have no option but to act.

The big question is whether we have a sane majority.

Although extremist regimes have rarely attracted a majority of voters (including in the United States), they excel at manipulating the electoral system to gain power. It is entirely possible that France or Germany could end up with a neo-fascist government for a time. What if support for parties of hate and isolation is not declining but growing, especially among the young?

There is strong reason to believe that it isn’t.

The past year was marked with dramatic uprisings by young people, especially in poorer countries, that sought to overthrow entrenched dynastic authoritarian regimes and to restore or introduce something resembling democratic or at least more normal and accountable government. These “Gen Z revolutions” began in Bangladesh, where students and other people under 30 successfully drove the resignation of a long-serving and corrupt ruling family in late 2024 and delivered a democratic moment that continues to inspire hope. They continued this year with regimes forced out of office in Nepal, Mongolia, Madagascar, Peru and Bulgaria, with major protest movements continuing in a dozen other countries.

There’s reason to be skeptical of the “Gen Z” branding: It has always been people under 30 who have dominated protests, riots and revolutions, everywhere in the world. Virtually any mass uprising could have been named after whatever generation happens to be in its teens and 20s at the time.

But there is something measurably distinct about under-30s in many countries. The voting waves that have brought authoritarian-minded governments to power have, with only a few exceptions, been dominated by people in their 40s and 50s. And the principal victims of the decline in economic conditions and freedoms created by these governments have been the youngest generations.

There is substantial evidence that a majority of young people in most countries – democratic or otherwise – strongly desire a change in the system to one that is more representative and reformist, especially on issues such as inequality and climate change, not less.

A major meta-analysis of multiple international surveys conducted this year by professors Bobby Duffy and Paolo Morini at King’s College London found that, contrary to some headlines and small-scale surveys wrongly suggesting that democracy has fallen out of favour among the young, the authoritarian-minded population under 30 is exceptionally small – under 6 per cent in Britain – and that more detailed studies showed a desire among youth to replace those elected populist governments that have shortchanged them. “They have significant issues with how the political system has not delivered for them,” Prof. Duffy said, “but they’re not looking to tear it up and replace it with autocratic leadership.” Their results were supported by a Pew Research Center study that found that in 10 countries (including Canada), the proportion of under-35s who want dramatic economic-system changes to reduce inequality was typically 50 per cent again larger than older groups.

There is substantial evidence that a majority of young people in most countries – democratic or otherwise – strongly desire a change in the system to one that is more representative and reformist, especially on issues such as inequality and climate change, not less.

The economic harm of tariffs and protectionism, and the increased inequality and reduced freedoms caused by far-right governments, tends to accrue disproportionately to the young. And these regimes oppose climate-change policy – one of the top two things that young people in most countries say they are disproportionately concerned about, even more than earlier generations were at the same age. So it’s quite likely that Gen Z uprisings will become more widespread, and increasingly successful, as demographic change makes that cohort a larger share of the electorate.

Much of the current end-times pessimism is rooted in the way we think about the climate crisis. Too often this century, the message has been one of loss: “Unless we do something painful, this is going to be devastating, and potentially fatal to human civilization.” But it should have been one of cost and opportunity: “Solving this is going to be expensive and labour-intensive – and the longer we delay, the more expensive and challenging it will be.”

We have now reached the point where the climate emergency is actually taking place, and will surely get worse before it gets better.

That doesn’t mean we will quietly await our tempestuous fate. Majorities in most countries understand the need for very large-scale public investments to reduce the risk.

It means we now face a triple challenge: First, to replace our carbon-based energy and transportation sources with non-emitting ones; second, to develop and implement new technologies and methods to reverse existing warming; third, to erect vast amounts of infrastructure to protect our cities and farmlands against existing warming and ocean-level increases while keeping them productive.

The last decade has seen the publication of several global estimates of the investments required to end, and then reverse, atmospheric warming (usually by 2050) from the International Energy Agency, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and from groups of scholars. All estimate that de-carbonizing electrical generation and transportation is the single largest need, the sine qua non: If the largest economies can manage that, we’re most of the way there.

Most estimates say that about 1,000 gigawatts of renewable and nuclear energy capacity will need to be constructed for each of seven years to meet a 2050 goal; in 2024, only 585 gigawatts were added, although major investments in China and Europe are raising that number.

This will require investments of around US$5-trillion by 2030, or about 2 per cent of world GDP – about double what humans are currently spending. The world is on track to meet about 85 per cent of this required renewable growth, in large part thanks to Chinese investments. In fact, one clear way for liberal democracies to win popular support back from the autocrats is to start outdoing them in climate investment.

Most estimates say the world will need to retire or retrofit perhaps two billion internal-combustion passenger cars by 2050. Electric cars now represent around 25 per cent of light vehicle sales worldwide, up from 14 per cent in 2022. Half of that production was in China, and a quarter of it in Europe; the United States and India have lagged behind. Charging infrastructure and battery production will also require enormous public and private investments.

Some of the biggest opportunities come from our pending need to de-carbonize commercial land and sea transportation (the latter is estimated to require a trillion dollars in investment by 2050), steel and concrete making, and eventually air travel – some of which still require the development of new technologies. If we are unable to electrify some of those sectors, we will need to invest even more heavily in carbon capture and CO2 removal, an underperforming sector that will require even more trillions of investment.

Because we have waited until the crisis is upon us, some of our largest investments – and our least optional investments – will be needed not to prevent but to protect us from the effects of the warming and ocean-level rises that will happen regardless. Massive sea barriers will be needed in most maritime cities. Drought-resistant crops will need to be engineered and cultivated throughout large regions, as well as new irrigation solutions and urban infrastructure.

The notion of investing an estimated US$150-trillion over 30 years may sound implausible, especially after the devastating political and economic events of 2025. But that ignores the fact that most worldwide economic activity in the coming decades will contribute to this goal, directly or indirectly. About half the world’s economies, according to estimates by the Energy and Carbon Intelligence Unit, are now “absolute carbon decoupled” – that is, every dollar of economic growth in those countries now causes a decrease, rather than a rise, in greenhouse-gas emissions (because most investments result in the replacement of ecologically inefficient technology). China and most of Europe are there; Canada is just barely decoupled but faltering; the United States is not, although a return to its 2024 policies would soon get it there.

That illustrates why the ecological crisis is so intimately tied to the political crisis; it also suggests why a decade of democratic backsliding is unlikely to hold. Tariffs and closed borders and military misadventures don’t just choke off growth and lower living standards – they choke up the atmosphere.

Sooner or later, an excluded generation will begin to clear the air, and step clear of the wreckage. The rest of us ought to stop apologizing to them, and get ready to thank them.

B.C. First Nations warn against chan­ging UN law

Lead­ers say move would `grind projects to a halt’

This article was written by the Canadian Press and was published in the Toronto Star on December 24, 2025.

First Nations lead­ers in Brit­ish Columbia have issued a joint state­ment cri­ti­ciz­ing calls to amend the pro­vin­cial Declar­a­tion on the Rights of Indi­gen­ous Peoples Act in response to a recent court rul­ing.

The state­ment is endorsed by more than 50 First Nations in B.C. and says recent talks of chan­ging legis­la­tion are a “fear­based response” from oppon­ents of the rul­ing “that reaf­firm the cru­cial need to con­sult and nego­ti­ate” with Indi­gen­ous com­munit­ies on min­ing rights. It calls for Brit­ish Columbi­ans to “slow down, take stock, and reflect” on the path for­ward, not­ing resort­ing to “fear­based reac­tions” risk undo­ing hard­won pro­gress on recon­cili­ation.

The state­ment says chan­ging the legis­la­tion would “grind projects to a halt” as First Nations may be forced to defend their rights through the courts.

The state­ment comes days after Kitasoo Xai’xais Nation chief coun­cil­lor Chris McK­night warned B.C. Premier David Eby he risks fuel­ling racism and los­ing the trust of the Indi­gen­ous com­munity if changes to the act are made.

The B.C. Appeal Court decision on a First Nations chal­lenge of the province’s min­ing ten­ure sys­tem gives effect to the United Nations Declar­a­tion on the Rights of Indi­gen­ous Peoples, and Eby has said changes to the law may be neces­sary.

Among those endors­ing the latest state­ment call­ing for B.C. to think care­fully about chan­ging the Declar­a­tion on the Rights of Indi­gen­ous Peoples Act are the B.C. Assembly of First Nations, the Union of B.C. Indian Chiefs and the First Nations Sum­mit.

The state­ment says the court decision affirms the need to con­sult and nego­ti­ate with First Nations, but a neg­at­ive nar­rat­ive has begun to take hold.

“This nar­rat­ive wrongly blames First Nations for uncer­tainty, while ignor­ing the his­tor­ical real­ity that Brit­ish Columbia was largely settled without treat­ies. It replaces facts and exper­i­ence with fear, and co­oper­a­tion with divi­sion,” the state­ment says.

“We call on Premier Eby to uphold the Declar­a­tion Act, res­ist calls to amend it or pur­sue appeals, and to sit down with Indi­gen­ous lead­er­ship to con­tinue the work of build­ing cer­tainty, trust, and eco­nomic prosper­ity for every­one in Brit­ish Columbia.”

Hydrostor nears construction on California project

This article was written by Jeffrey Jones and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 24, 2025.

Energy storage developer Hydrostor Inc. is close to breaking ground on its first utility-scale project after receiving final regulatory approval in California.

Toronto-based Hydrostor said it is finalizing offtake agreements with utilities in the state before starting construction at its US$1.5-billion Willow Rock Energy Storage Center in Kern County, Calif., north of Los Angeles.

The U.S. project, which has been under review for more than four years, is one of two large developments the company expects to start in 2026. The other is in New South Wales, Australia.

Its long-duration technology, known as advanced compressed air energy storage, is designed to smooth out electricity supply on power grids, storing excess power generated from fast-growing renewable sources such as wind and solar until it’s needed.

Hydrostor’s system works by pumping compressed air into a cavern deep underground. The rush of air pushes water up to a reservoir at the surface. When electricity is needed, the water is released back into the cavern, sending the air out and driving turbines to generate power.

The benefits are that the facility can store energy for longer periods than batteries, and the system can run on either excess or off-peak power from the grid or from renewable sources.

Last Friday, the California Energy Commission granted final permitting approval to the 500megawatt/4,000-megawatt-hour project, which will have the capacity to power more than 400,000 homes for more than eight hours at a time.

Hydrostor president Jon Norman said the company has grid interconnection agreements for its planned facility, as well as engineering, procurement and construction contracts, and union deals, in place.

“That’s good to start constructing the project. We just need those last pieces of revenue,” Mr. Norman said. Early this year, the project won conditional approval from the U.S. Department of Energy for a loan guarantee of up to US$1.76-billion. However, since then, U.S. President Donald Trump has cancelled many green and climatefriendly programs.

The company said, based on its discussions with the department, that it is confident its financing is secure. It offers benefits to U.S. utility customers, and “grid reliability and resilience are bipartisan priorities,” chief executive Curtis VanWalleghem said in a statement Tuesday.

In February, Hydrostor secured US$200-million in financing from the Canada Growth Fund, Goldman Sachs and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board to push forward with its projects. Its other investors include ArcTern Ventures, Loren Partners and Canoe Financial.

The company plans to have the Willow Rock project in operation in five years. Mr. Norman said there is more opportunity on the horizon, as California has called for a major expansion of storage capacity by 2032.

In Australia, Hydrostor is nearing the start of construction on a 200-megawatt/1,600-megawatt-hour project in Broken Hill, New South Wales, which is estimated to cost about US$640-million.

Mr. Norman said its proposal has been delayed for regulatory reasons – its planned method of storing and transmitting power is a first for the country.

Those details, as well as sales contracts, are being finalized. “We expect to have an announcement early in the year about a priority designation for that project from the New South Wales government that will form a very strong basis for it to go forward,” Mr. Norman said. “So we’re really looking at getting to construction on these projects in parallel.”

In total, the company says it has the potential to develop 7,000 megawatts’ worth of projects in the next few years in Canada, the U.S., Australia and Britain.

Hydrostor plans to construct some of them itself, but also sell the systems to utilities and independent power producers that can operate them on a turnkey basis, Mr. Norman said.

“So this really is the beachhead for an entire growth industry around compressed air energy storage,” he said.

U.S. firm says Alberta can be leader in car­bon cap­ture

Man­tel Cap­ture says province has policy sup­port needed to develop tech

Mantel Capture's demonstration project at Kruger Inc.'s Wayagamack pulp and paper mill in TroisRivières, Que., is designed to capture 2,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide and generate steam for the mill. The U.S. company is working on a commercialscale project in Alberta's oilsands.

This article was written by Lauren Krugel and was published in the Toronto Star on December 23, 2025.

The chief exec­ut­ive of a U.S.­based car­bon cap­ture star­tup embark­ing on a project in Alberta’s oils­ands says Canada ticks a lot of the boxes needed to bring the emis­sions­redu­cing tech­no­logy into wide­spread use.

“Alberta spe­cific­ally is a really great con­flu­ence of all the right factors com­ing together to give Canada a chance to lead in this eco­sys­tem,” said Cameron Hal­l­i­day, cofounder of Cam­bridge, Mass.based Man­tel Cap­ture.

“You’ve got the policy sup­port. You’ve got the car­rot and the stick.”

Man­tel announced last week it has begun an early engin­eer­ing and design study for a com­mer­cials­cale project in Alberta’s oils­ands. It’s not identi­fy­ing its part­ner at this stage, but it’s a pro­du­cer that uses steam­assisted grav­ity drain­age tech­niques to extract bitu­men from deep under­ground.

The project is designed to cap­ture 60,000 tonnes of car­bon diox­ide per year. Usu­ally, car­bon cap­ture projects con­sume a lot of energy, but Man­tel’s tech­no­logy aims to har­ness what powers its sys­tem instead of wast­ing it, as the 150,000 tonnes of high­pres­sure steam it gen­er­ates can be used in its oils­ands part­ner’s oper­a­tions.

Man­tel is not dis­clos­ing the cost of the project at this time. It is receiv­ing sup­port from Alberta Innov­ates, a pro­vin­cial Crown cor­por­a­tion.

It builds on a demon­stra­tion project at Kruger Inc.’s Way­agamack pulp and paper mill in Trois­Rivières, Que., that’s designed to cap­ture 2,000 tonnes of car­bon diox­ide and gen­er­ate steam for the mill.

Hal­l­i­day said Man­tel’s mod­u­lar equip­ment can be bolted on to many dif­fer­ent kinds of indus­trial plants, like cement, steel, chem­ic­als and power gen­er­a­tion. He called it a “value­addit­ive exer­cise” on top of the bene­fit of pre­vent­ing cli­mate­w­arm­ing emis­sions from enter­ing the atmo­sphere.

“We need a way to do this, frankly, that makes money for the people that are put­ting their neck out and invest­ing in these things,” he said. “The way to do that is to do it effi­ciently.”

Alberta is a “soph­ist­ic­ated” player in the car­bon cap­ture space with the right policy sup­port with both a price on car­bon and tax incent­ives, Hal­l­i­day said.

Another thing the province has going for it is the people, as skills in the oil and gas industry mir­ror many of those needed in the car­bon cap­ture busi­ness.

“They have a good under­stand­ing of the sub­sur­face for sequest­ra­tion. Even the equip­ment above ground — it’s chem­ical­pro­cessing type equip­ment that these guys just under­stand. It looks famil­iar to them.”

Man­tel is not involved in the Path­ways Alli­ance, a group of some of Canada’s biggest oils­ands com­pan­ies pro­pos­ing to build what would be one of the world’s largest car­bon cap­ture projects, with an estim­ated cost of $16.5 bil­lion.

Path­ways would cap­ture car­bon diox­ide emis­sions from more than 20 oils­ands facil­it­ies in north­ern Alberta and trans­port them 400 kilo­metres away by pipeline to a ter­minal in the Cold Lake area in east­ern Alberta, where they would be stored in an under­ground hub.

It was a key fea­ture of a memor­andum of under­stand­ing signed between the Alberta and fed­eral gov­ern­ments late last month. Path­ways and a new West Coast bitu­men pipeline going ahead are “mutu­ally depend­ent,” the agree­ment says.

Trump administration suspends five offshore wind leases in latest anti-renewables push

This article was written by Matthew Daly and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 23, 2025.

Rotor blades and other parts for the continuing construction of the Revolution Wind offshore wind project are seen staged on the State Pier in New London, Conn., in September. Revolution Wind is among the large-scale offshore wind projects the Trump administration suspended leases for.

The Trump administration on Monday suspended leases for five large-scale offshore wind projects under construction along the East Coast owing to what it said were national-security risks identified by the Pentagon.

The suspension, effective immediately, is the latest step by the administration to hobble offshore wind in its push against renewable energy sources. It comes two weeks after a federal judge struck down U.S. President Donald Trump’s executive order blocking wind energy projects, calling it unlawful.

The administration said the pause will give the Interior Department, which oversees offshore wind, time to work with the Defence Department and other agencies to assess the possible ways to mitigate any security risks posed by the projects. The statement did not detail the national-security risks. It called the move a pause, but did not specify an end date.

“The prime duty of the United States government is to protect the American people,” Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said in a statement. “Today’s action addresses emerging national security risks, including the rapid evolution of the relevant adversary technologies, and the vulnerabilities created by large-scale offshore wind projects with proximity near our east coast population centers.”

Wind proponents slammed the move, saying it was another blow in an continuing attack by the administration against clean energy. The administration’s decision to cite potential nationalsecurity risks could complicate legal challenges to the move, although wind supporters say those arguments are overstated.

The administration said leases are paused for the Vineyard Wind project under construction in Massachusetts, Revolution Wind in Rhode Island and Connecticut, Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, and two projects in New York State: Sunrise Wind and Empire Wind.

The Interior Department said unclassified reports from the U.S. government have long found that the movement of massive turbine blades and the highly reflective towers create radar interference called “clutter.” The clutter caused by offshore wind projects can obscure legitimate moving targets and generate false targets in the vicinity of wind projects, the Interior Department said.

National-security expert and former commander of the USS Cole Kirk Lippold disputed the administration’s national-security argument. The offshore projects were awarded permits “following years of review by state and federal agencies,” including the Coast Guard, the Naval Undersea Warfare Center, the Air Force and more, he said.

“The record of decisions all show that the Department of Defence was consulted at every stage of the permitting process,” Mr. Lippold said, arguing that the projects would benefit national security because they would diversify the country’s energy supply.

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D, Rhode Island) said Revolution Wind was thoroughly vetted and fully permitted by the federal government, “and that review included any potential national security questions.” Mr. Burgum’s action “looks more like the kind of vindictive harassment we have come to expect from the Trump administration than anything legitimate,” he said.

The administration’s action comes two weeks after a federal judge struck down Mr. Trump’s executive order blocking wind energy projects, saying the effort to halt virtually all leasing of wind farms on federal lands and waters was “arbitrary and capricious” and violates U.S. law.

Justice Patti Saris of the U.S. District Court for the District of Massachusetts vacated Mr. Trump’s Jan. 20 executive order blocking wind energy projects and declared it unlawful.

Justice Saris ruled in favor of a coalition of state attorneys-general from 17 states and Washington, led by New York AttorneyGeneral Letitia James, that challenged Mr. Trump’s Day One order that paused leasing and permitting for wind energy projects.

Mr. Trump has been hostile to renewable energy, particularly offshore wind, and prioritizes fossil fuels to produce electricity. Mr. Trump has said wind turbines are ugly, expensive and pose a threat to birds and other wildlife.

Wind supporters called the administration’s actions illegal and said offshore wind provides some of the most affordable, reliable electric power to the grid.

“For nearly a year, the Trump administration has recklessly obstructed the build-out of clean, affordable power for millions of Americans, just as the country’s need for electricity is surging,” Ted Kelly of the Environmental Defense Fund said.

“Now the administration is again illegally blocking clean, affordable energy,” Mr. Kelly said. “We should not be kneecapping America’s largest source of renewable power, especially when we need more cheap, homegrown electricity.”

The administration’s actions are especially egregious because, at the same time, it is propping up aging, expensive coal plants “that barely work and pollute our air,” Mr. Kelly said.

Connecticut Attorney-General William Tong called the lease suspension a “lawless and erratic stop-work order” that revives an earlier, failed attempt to halt construction of Revolution Wind.

“Every day this project is stalled is another day of lost work, another day of unaffordable energy costs and burning fossil fuels when American-made clean energy is within reach,” Mr. Tong said. “We are evaluating all legal options, and this will be stopped just like last time.”

A New Jersey group that opposes offshore wind hailed the administration’s actions.

“Today, the President and his administration put America first,” said Robin Shaffer, president of Protect Our Coast New Jersey, a non-profit advocacy group.

“Placing largely foreign-owned wind turbines along our coastlines was never acceptable,” he said, arguing that Empire Wind, in particular, poses a threat because of its close proximity to major airports, including Newark Liberty, LaGuardia and JFK.

Offshore wind projects also pose a threat to commercial and recreational fishing industries, Mr. Shaffer and other critics say.

Developers of U.S. offshore projects include Denmark-based Orsted, Norway-based Equinor and a subsidiary of Spanish energy giant Iberdrola. Orsted, which owns two of the projects affected, saw stock prices decline by more than 11 per cent Monday.

Richmond-based Dominion Energy, which is developing Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, said its project is essential for national security and meeting Virginia’s dramatically growing energy needs, driven by dozens of new data centres.

“Stopping CVOW for any length of time will threaten grid reliability … lead to energy inflation and threaten thousands of jobs,” the company said in a statement.

A year of wild weather

Wild­fires, drought and storms under­score a chan­ging cli­mate

Between Feb. 8 and Feb. 15, about 66 centimetres of snow blanketed Toronto as disruptive snowstorms buried much of central and eastern Canada. The storms also left the city with its fourthdeepest snowpack on record, at 50 centimetres.

This article was written by Josh McGinnis and was published in the Toronto Star on December 21, 2025.

Envir­on­ment Canada has released its list of the top 10 weather events that left indelible marks on the coun­try this year, includ­ing the massive snowstorm that bur­ied all of south­ern Ontario in Feb­ru­ary.

Between Feb. 8 and Feb. 15, about 66 cen­ti­metres of snow blanketed Toronto, accord­ing to the weather agency, shut­ting down schools, caus­ing head­aches for com­muters and spark­ing numer­ous com­plaints about the city’s snow­clear­ing oper­a­tions.

Addi­tion­ally, on Nov. 9, snow fell across south­ern and east­ern Ontario, from Ott­awa to Hamilton to Toronto, com­ing weeks before the offi­cial start of winter. It was the first time Toronto saw its earli­est snow­fall greater than five cen­ti­metres since 1966.

Second worst wild­fire year on record

Top­ping the list was the num­ber of wild­fires that hit major areas nation­wide. Man­itoba and Saskat­chewan accoun­ted for more than half the area that burned in the coun­try, while Ontario, Brit­ish Columbia and Alberta were all above their 25­year aver­ages.

Drought deep­ens across much of the coun­try

Long stretches of hot dry heat dur­ing the sum­mer rav­aged agri­cul­tural areas across the coun­try. Parts of Brit­ish Columbia, the Prair­ies, east­ern Ontario and south­ern Que­bec along with the Mari­times provinces received less than half their usual sum­mer rain­fall, caus­ing severe drought and leav­ing farm­ers scram­bling to recoup their losses.

Power­ful thun­der­storms sweep cent­ral and east­ern Ontario

On the even­ing of June 21 and into the early hours of June 22, a larges­cale thun­der­storm sys­tem brought tor­ren­tial rain and dam­aging winds across Ontario. The storm stole power from tens of thou­sands of people. Fallen trees and power lines obstruc­ted roads and made travel impossible for many.

May heat wave and dry con­di­tions intensify wild­fires in Man­itoba

In early May, fires stretched across the provinces, caus­ing heat­waves in the Prair­ies and into Ontario, and forced thou­sands to evac­u­ate.

Major ice storm brings Ontario to a stand­still

A major ice storm in Ontario and Que­bec from March 28 to March 31 brought up to 20 mil­li­metres of ice buildup in north­ern parts of the provinces. At one point on March 30, 380,000 people were without power in Ontario, caus­ing fri­gidlylow tem­per­at­ures in homes. The ice storm also con­trib­uted to nearly 100 col­li­sions in east­ern Ontario.

Snowstorm blankets cent­ral and east­ern Canada

A trio of back­to­back, “remark­able and dis­rupt­ive” snowstorms in Feb­ru­ary bur­ied much of cent­ral and east­ern Canada. Later, in Novem­ber, a sim­ilar, intense sys­tem blanketed parts of the coun­try from Ontario to Lab­rador in snow so heavy, it caused wide­spread travel dis­rup­tions. In the Feb­ru­ary storms, Toronto saw its fourthdeep­est snowpack on record, at 50 cen­ti­metres, as school boards across the GTA announced clos­ures.

Storm havoc sweeps the Prair­ies

“Aug. 20 will be remembered as one of the more impact­ful days of severe sum­mer weather across the Prairie provinces in recent years,” Envir­on­ment Canada said, refer­ring to severe thun­der­storms which struck Alberta, Saskat­chewan and Man­itoba and carved destruc­tion over hun­dreds of kilo­metres.

Arc­tic Ocean storm surge floods Tuk­toy­ak­tuk

In late August, in the North­w­est Ter­rit­or­ies, relent­less wind had drawn surges of cold ocean water into the coastal com­munity of Tuk­toy­ak­tuk. Water levels reached 2.62 metres, a record­high for the ham­let, and also caused power out­ages. “This surge event is another sign of a chan­ging Arc­tic, where power­ful storms and rising seas are cre­at­ing new chal­lenges for coastal com­munit­ies like Tuk­toy­ak­tuk,” Envir­on­ment Canada said.

Power­ful Novem­ber storm over­shad­ows hur­ricane sea­son

August is hur­ricane sea­son in Atlantic Canada, and this year, the sea­son passed with most hur­ricanes stay­ing off­shore. Instead, on Nov. 4, a “weather bomb” made land­fall in south­east­ern New­found­land, pro­du­cing fierce winds and low pres­sure levels.

West­ern Canada bakes in record late­sum­mer heat

A heat wave from late August to early Septem­ber caused more than 200 daily high tem­per­at­ure records to break across B.C. and the Yukon.