2025 was one of three hot­test years on record

Study also finds heat waves have become the dead­li­est extreme weather events

Exhaust gases billowing from the chimneys of a large coalfired power station in Taean, South Korea. November's UN climate talks in Brazil ended without any explicit plan to transition away from fossil fuels.

This article was written by Alexa St. John and was published in the Toronto Star on December 31, 2025.

Cli­mate change worsened by human beha­viour made 2025 one of the three hot­test years on record, sci­ent­ists said.

It was also the first time the three year tem­per­at­ure aver­age broke through the threshold set in the 2015 Paris Agree­ment of lim­it­ing warm­ing to no more than 1.5 C since pre­indus­trial times. Experts say keep­ing the Earth below that limit could save lives and pre­vent cata­strophic envir­on­mental destruc­tion around the globe.

The ana­lysis from World Weather Attri­bu­tion (WWA) research­ers, released Tues­day in Europe, came after a year when people around the world were slammed by the dan­ger­ous extremes brought on by a warm­ing planet.

Tem­per­at­ures remained high des­pite the pres­ence of a La Niña, the occa­sional nat­ural cool­ing of Pacific Ocean waters that influ­ences weather world­wide. Research­ers cited the con­tin­ued burn­ing of fossil fuels — oil, gas and coal — that send planet­warm­ing green­house gases into the atmo­sphere.

“If we don’t stop burn­ing fossil fuels very, very, quickly, very soon, it will be very hard to keep that goal” of warm­ing, Friederike Otto, cofounder of World Weather Attri­bu­tion and an Imper­ial Col­lege Lon­don cli­mate sci­ent­ist, told The Asso­ci­ated Press. “The sci­ence is increas­ingly clear.”

Extreme weather events kill thou­sands of people and cost bil­lions of dol­lars in dam­age annu­ally.

WWA sci­ent­ists iden­ti­fied 157 extreme weather events as most severe in 2025, mean­ing they met cri­teria such as caus­ing more than 100 deaths, affect­ing more than half an area’s pop­u­la­tion or hav­ing a state of emer­gency declared. Of those, they closely ana­lyzed 22.

That included dan­ger­ous heat waves, which the WWA said were the world’s dead­li­est extreme weather events in 2025. The research­ers said some of the heat waves they stud­ied in 2025 were 10 times more likely than they would have been a dec­ade ago due to cli­mate change.

“The heat waves we have observed this year are quite com­mon events in our cli­mate today, but they would have been almost impossible to occur without human ­induced cli­mate change,” Otto said. “It makes a huge dif­fer­ence.”

Mean­while, pro­longed drought con­trib­uted to wild­fires that scorched Greece and Tur­key. Tor­ren­tial rains and flood­ing in Mex­ico killed dozens of people and left many more miss­ing. Super Typhoon Fung­wong slammed the Phil­ip­pines, for­cing more than a mil­lion people to evac­u­ate. Mon­soon rains battered India with floods and land­slides.

The WWA said the increas­ingly fre­quent and severe extremes threatened the abil­ity of mil­lions of people across the globe to respond and adapt to those events with enough warn­ing, time and resources, what the sci­ent­ists call “lim­its of adapt­a­tion.” The report poin­ted to Hur­ricane Melissa as an example: The storm intens­i­fied so quickly that it made fore­cast­ing and plan­ning more dif­fi­cult, and pum­melled Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti so severely that it left the small island nations unable to respond to and handle its extreme losses and dam­age.

This year’s United Nations cli­mate talks in Brazil in Novem­ber ended without any expli­cit plan to trans­ition away from fossil fuels, and though more money was pledged to help coun­tries adapt to cli­mate change, they will take more time to do it.

Offi­cials, sci­ent­ists and ana­lysts have con­ceded that Earth’s warm­ing will over­shoot 1.5 C, though some say revers­ing that trend remains pos­sible.

Yet dif­fer­ent nations are see­ing vary­ing levels of pro­gress.

China is rap­idly deploy­ing renew­able ener­gies includ­ing solar and wind power — but it is also con­tinu­ing to invest in coal. Though increas­ingly fre­quent extreme weather has spurred calls for cli­mate action across Europe, some nations say that lim­its eco­nomic growth.

Mean­while, in the U.S., the Trump admin­is­tra­tion has steered the nation away from clean ­energy policy in favour of meas­ures that sup­port coal, oil and gas.

The effects of cli­mate change begin at home

This Letter to the Editor was written by Samantha Green and was published in the Toronto Star on December 27, 2025.

Two key Toronto cli­mate policies appeared set to be shelved. Then the pub­lic spoke up, Dec. 9

What cli­mate impacts are people exper­i­en­cing in their homes? Impacts to their health. Cana­dians spend 90 per cent of their time indoors. As the cli­mate crisis wor­sens, the build­ings we live in can either cause harm or help pro­tect us from extremes. Across Canada, sum­mers are get­ting hot­ter and more deadly. A max­imum heat bylaw in rental units is crit­ical. In Toronto, we saw 24 days last sum­mer in which tem­per­at­ures exceeded 30 C. We don’t know what next sum­mer will bring, but we know access to cool­ing saves lives.

The Build­ing Emis­sions Per­form­ance Stand­ards Policy, revived by pop­u­lar demand after hav­ing been shelved, will also deliver sig­ni­fic­ant health bene­fits. Its emis­sions­reduc­tion require­ments will drive ret­ro­fits that could help pro­tect a build­ing’s res­id­ents from tem­per­at­ure extremes; the install­a­tion of heat pumps with air fil­ters to reduce expos­ure to wild­fire smoke; and a trans­ition away from gas, improv­ing indoor air qual­ity and lower­ing asthma rates, espe­cially among chil­dren.

We shouldn’t be sur­prised that res­id­ents sup­port these policies. We know we need to drive down the emis­sions fuel­ling the cli­mate crisis and to pro­tect our health from cli­mate haz­ards where we exper­i­ence them most: in our homes.

Sam­antha Green, Toronto

A year of wild weather

Wild­fires, drought and storms under­score a chan­ging cli­mate

Between Feb. 8 and Feb. 15, about 66 centimetres of snow blanketed Toronto as disruptive snowstorms buried much of central and eastern Canada. The storms also left the city with its fourthdeepest snowpack on record, at 50 centimetres.

This article was written by Josh McGinnis and was published in the Toronto Star on December 21, 2025.

Envir­on­ment Canada has released its list of the top 10 weather events that left indelible marks on the coun­try this year, includ­ing the massive snowstorm that bur­ied all of south­ern Ontario in Feb­ru­ary.

Between Feb. 8 and Feb. 15, about 66 cen­ti­metres of snow blanketed Toronto, accord­ing to the weather agency, shut­ting down schools, caus­ing head­aches for com­muters and spark­ing numer­ous com­plaints about the city’s snow­clear­ing oper­a­tions.

Addi­tion­ally, on Nov. 9, snow fell across south­ern and east­ern Ontario, from Ott­awa to Hamilton to Toronto, com­ing weeks before the offi­cial start of winter. It was the first time Toronto saw its earli­est snow­fall greater than five cen­ti­metres since 1966.

Second worst wild­fire year on record

Top­ping the list was the num­ber of wild­fires that hit major areas nation­wide. Man­itoba and Saskat­chewan accoun­ted for more than half the area that burned in the coun­try, while Ontario, Brit­ish Columbia and Alberta were all above their 25­year aver­ages.

Drought deep­ens across much of the coun­try

Long stretches of hot dry heat dur­ing the sum­mer rav­aged agri­cul­tural areas across the coun­try. Parts of Brit­ish Columbia, the Prair­ies, east­ern Ontario and south­ern Que­bec along with the Mari­times provinces received less than half their usual sum­mer rain­fall, caus­ing severe drought and leav­ing farm­ers scram­bling to recoup their losses.

Power­ful thun­der­storms sweep cent­ral and east­ern Ontario

On the even­ing of June 21 and into the early hours of June 22, a larges­cale thun­der­storm sys­tem brought tor­ren­tial rain and dam­aging winds across Ontario. The storm stole power from tens of thou­sands of people. Fallen trees and power lines obstruc­ted roads and made travel impossible for many.

May heat wave and dry con­di­tions intensify wild­fires in Man­itoba

In early May, fires stretched across the provinces, caus­ing heat­waves in the Prair­ies and into Ontario, and forced thou­sands to evac­u­ate.

Major ice storm brings Ontario to a stand­still

A major ice storm in Ontario and Que­bec from March 28 to March 31 brought up to 20 mil­li­metres of ice buildup in north­ern parts of the provinces. At one point on March 30, 380,000 people were without power in Ontario, caus­ing fri­gidlylow tem­per­at­ures in homes. The ice storm also con­trib­uted to nearly 100 col­li­sions in east­ern Ontario.

Snowstorm blankets cent­ral and east­ern Canada

A trio of back­to­back, “remark­able and dis­rupt­ive” snowstorms in Feb­ru­ary bur­ied much of cent­ral and east­ern Canada. Later, in Novem­ber, a sim­ilar, intense sys­tem blanketed parts of the coun­try from Ontario to Lab­rador in snow so heavy, it caused wide­spread travel dis­rup­tions. In the Feb­ru­ary storms, Toronto saw its fourthdeep­est snowpack on record, at 50 cen­ti­metres, as school boards across the GTA announced clos­ures.

Storm havoc sweeps the Prair­ies

“Aug. 20 will be remembered as one of the more impact­ful days of severe sum­mer weather across the Prairie provinces in recent years,” Envir­on­ment Canada said, refer­ring to severe thun­der­storms which struck Alberta, Saskat­chewan and Man­itoba and carved destruc­tion over hun­dreds of kilo­metres.

Arc­tic Ocean storm surge floods Tuk­toy­ak­tuk

In late August, in the North­w­est Ter­rit­or­ies, relent­less wind had drawn surges of cold ocean water into the coastal com­munity of Tuk­toy­ak­tuk. Water levels reached 2.62 metres, a record­high for the ham­let, and also caused power out­ages. “This surge event is another sign of a chan­ging Arc­tic, where power­ful storms and rising seas are cre­at­ing new chal­lenges for coastal com­munit­ies like Tuk­toy­ak­tuk,” Envir­on­ment Canada said.

Power­ful Novem­ber storm over­shad­ows hur­ricane sea­son

August is hur­ricane sea­son in Atlantic Canada, and this year, the sea­son passed with most hur­ricanes stay­ing off­shore. Instead, on Nov. 4, a “weather bomb” made land­fall in south­east­ern New­found­land, pro­du­cing fierce winds and low pres­sure levels.

West­ern Canada bakes in record late­sum­mer heat

A heat wave from late August to early Septem­ber caused more than 200 daily high tem­per­at­ure records to break across B.C. and the Yukon.

As record warmth transforms the Arctic, waning political will leaves its communities in peril

This article was written by Jenn Thornhill Verma and Ivan Semeniuk, and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 17, 2025.

The permafrost cliffs around Sachs Harbour, NWT, keep inching closer to residents; this is where they were in the summer of 2024. Locals have had to consider relocating or reinforcing the shoreline.

If 2025 was the year that climate change was supposed to take a back seat to more pressing matters, then there’s one part of the planet that didn’t get the memo.

On Tuesday, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its annual Arctic Report Card – a collection of concise, peer-reviewed summaries that aims to capture how the climate is behaving at Earth’s northern extremes, including in Canada.

The latest version comes with some big implications for those who live in the Arctic. If efforts to mitigate fossil fuel emissions, the main drivers of climate change, are sidelined, then northern communities will be even further pressed to adapt to a changing environment – and more quickly.

“The Arctic is getting warmer, the Arctic is getting wetter, the Arctic is getting greener,” said Chris Derksen, director of Environment and Climate Change Canada’s climate research division. “Year over year, it may seem like an incremental change, but over 20 years, the body of evidence for the holistic changes to the Arctic – they just become clear.”

A well-known feature of climate change is that the Arctic is warming several times faster than the rest of the planet on average. This year’s Arctic Report Card confirms that the region has just logged its warmest year since 1900 – a new extreme that follows the general trend.

Other broken records in 2025 include the lowest maximum sea ice extent in the 47year satellite record, the warmest fall on record and the highest annual precipitation since tracking began.

Multiyear sea ice – the thick, old ice that once dominated the Arctic – has declined 95 per cent since the 1980s, with what remains now largely confined to coastal areas around Greenland and the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. That difference alone is set to utterly transform the Arctic.

As the report card notes, “The profound changes in sea ice since 2005 are opening the Arctic to more human activity and bringing to the fore concerns about safety, security and the environment.”

Dr. Derksen added that the report card serves as “an annual checkup on what’s happening in the Arctic.” But increasingly, the ocean and lands it describes are beginning to look like an entirely new sort of patient.

NOAA began issuing its report card in 2006 as a way to highlight Arctic change for a broad audience, including policy makers. Canadian experts are among the 112 scientists from 13 countries that authored this year’s 20th edition of the document.

Notwithstanding its international flavour, the effort has always been organized and led by U.S. researchers and is presented each December at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union.

Tuesday’s release comes at an especially fraught time for circumpolar science and collaboration.

Earlier this year, the U.S. administration, guided by President Donald Trump’s open contempt for concerns about climate change, cut hundreds of staff, including scientists, from NOAA’s ranks. Others were blocked from attending international meetings and avoided speaking openly on international calls.

For Canadian scientists, the situation comes with a hint of déjà vu. The last time politics got in the way of U.S. and Canadian climate scientists working together on joint projects such as the Arctic report card, it was prime minister Stephen Harper’s government that furnished the roadblocks.

Yet this year’s report card is surprisingly candid about the barriers, such as “cutbacks in funding and logistical support for Arctic research and spaceborne monitoring capabilities in the United States and the European Union.” Of the 31 observing systems it assesses, 23 depend on U.S. federal support.

Dr. Derksen, whose division works with U.S. counterparts on the report’s snow monitoring, described the impact of entire federal departments in upheaval, compounded by an extended government shutdown.

“You can’t have business as usual when it comes to scientific collaborations when you have disruptions of that scale,” he said.

During a news conference on Tuesday, U.S. authors of the report card acknowledged the challenges they faced.

Twila Moon, a climate scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., and an editor of the report card, said international collaboration helped fill the gaps. “Bumps can happen,” she said. “This was another year where we saw people stepping up, making things happen, working extra time and really hustling, because all of us believe that this is incredibly important information.”

Yet political realities cast a shadow on the briefing once it was apparent that participants, in contrast to previous years, could not speak openly about why the Arctic climate is changing so dramatically.

Repeating a phrase uttered by NOAA’s administrator Neil Jacobs during his congressional confirmation hearings, NOAA’s acting chief scientist, Steve Thur, merely stated that “there is a human role.”

For Canada, home to a vast Arctic coastline and the planet’s third-largest reserve of glacial ice, the strained relations with its closest research partner highlight the need for more domestic monitoring. The country’s own observing systems and Indigenous-led research networks are becoming more critical.

Globally, emissions-reduction efforts have stalled – last month’s COP30 summit ended without a fossil fuel phase-out road map and with new national climate plans delivering less than 15 per cent of the emissions cuts needed to hold warming to 1.5 C.

“Inuit Nunangat is at the forefront of climate change, and irreversible changes are occurring in our homeland,” said Denise Baikie, manager of policy advancement at Inuit Tapiriit Kanatami, the national representational organization for Inuit in Canada. (Inuit Nunangat refers to the Inuit homeland, spanning four regions and most of Canada’s Arctic coastline.)

“Our adaptation costs and needs will grow whether or not global temperatures remain within 1.5 or 2.0 degrees. ITK is deeply concerned that Canada won’t meet its emissions targets.”

CHANGES BY SEA AND LAND

This year’s report card documents a litany of changes that are reshaping Arctic ecosystems and outpacing the models scientists use to predict them. Among those highlighted are:

Atlantification

This is the intrusion of warm, salty Atlantic water several hundred kilometres into the central Arctic Ocean. It is happening because a cold-water barrier called the halocline, which historically kept heat trapped at depth and protected sea ice from below, has lost roughly 30 per cent of its stability over three decades.

Climate models have projected that atlantification would not reach the western Arctic Ocean this century; yet, the report card documents evidence to the contrary. In the coastal seas north of Europe, August sea surface temperatures were as much as 7 C warmer than the 1991-2020 average. On Canada’s Atlantic side, the cold Labrador Current still acts as a buffer – but the report card suggests this is a delay, not a reprieve.

Borealization

Warming bottom waters, declining sea ice and rising plankton levels are driving the northward expansion of southern marine species and sharp declines in Arctic species – disrupting commercial fisheries, food security and Indigenous subsistence. In the northern Bering and Chukchi Seas, roughly one-third of Arctic species examined are declining; snow crab and Arctic cod are losing ground while walleye pollock and yellowfin sole push north. Plankton productivity has spiked – up 80 per cent in the Eurasian Arctic, 34 per cent in the Barents Sea and 27 per cent in Hudson Bay since 2003. The result has disrupted the food webs on which Arctic communities depend.

Toxic rivers

Across Alaska, iron and toxic metals released by melting permafrost have turned streams in more than 200 watersheds visibly orange over the past decade. The increased acidity and elevated metal levels

have degraded water quality, eroded biodiversity and in some streams exceeded safe drinking water guidelines for cadmium and nickel. Similar chemical processes have been documented in Canada’s Yukon and Mackenzie watersheds, though visible rusting has not yet been reported at the same scale.

Water security

Glaciers in Arctic Scandinavia and Svalbard experienced their largest annual net loss on record between 2023 and 2024; Alaskan glaciers have lost an average of 38 metres of ice since the mid-20th century. In Canada’s northernmost community, Grise Fiord (Ausuittuq) in Nunavut, the pressure is tangible.

“The glaciers here on Ellesmere Island are disappearing faster than we thought they would, or people predicted,” said Meeka Kiguktak, the mayor of Grise Fiord. The hamlet – situated closer to the North Pole than to Southern Canada – relies on glacier runoff and iceberg water as its only sources of freshwater and is now building a new water plant.

“Ausuittuq means the place that never melts,” Ms. Kiguktak said. “It’s melting now, so we gotta change the name of our community soon.”

Melting glaciers are not the only change the community has witnessed: This year, sea ice arrived late and so rough that hunters couldn’t find seal holes, pushing the season back a month; narwhals and belugas stayed until late October, weeks past normal.

A TRADITION OF WATCHFULNESS

While the changes now evident across the Arctic are historically unprecedented, the report card notes that survival in the region has always depended on close observation of the environment. Only recently has the value of this tradition been fully appreciated. “For too long, Arctic research has treated Indigenous peoples as ‘informants’ or ‘stakeholders,’ ” the report card states, adding that Indigenous experts who combine Western and traditional knowledge to care for their lands and waters “have always been scientists.”

Philippe Archambault, a marine scientist at Laval University who leads the research network ArcticNet, said that he and his colleagues have benefited from the realization that Indigenous peoples in the Arctic constitute a permanent community of observers and analysts. By partnering with them, he said, “we’re doing our work in a more effective way.”

In Canada, Inuit Nunangat is on the verge of complete climate strategy coverage. In 2019, ITK released the National Inuit Climate Change Strategy. The Inuvialuit Settlement Region adopted its strategy in 2021; Nunavik published an adaptation plan in 2024; and Nunatsiavut released its climate strategy this year. When Nunavut’s territory-wide strategy is released next year, it will close the loop: co-ordinated climate frameworks across a vast territory, built from the ground up by the communities most affected.

“Inuit know what’s happening and what’s needed,” Ms. Baikie said. “Decisions about our homeland must be inclusive of Inuit as rights holders and knowledge holders.”

This co-operation stands in contrast to the federal picture. Canada’s Climate Competitiveness Strategy, released in November, has been criticized for lacking Indigenous input. That same month, federal cabinet minister Steven Guilbeault resigned over the rollback of climate policies he had championed, including carbon pricing and the oil-and-gas emissions cap. And a report by the University of Waterloo’s Intact Centre on Climate Adaptation found Arctic coastlines are eroding by up to 40 metres a year – yet Canada lacks a co-ordinated national framework for shoreline management.

The report card sits alongside a growing ecosystem of Arctic assessments: the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP, the Arctic Council’s scientific arm) produces circumpolar reports; the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has its seventh assessment under way, with a synthesis report expected by late 2029; and Canada’s own national assessment, Canada’s Changing Climate, is expected next spring (published every five years, the last was published in 2019). Together, these reports build a layered picture of Arctic change from global to local scales.

But Canada has no equivalent to NOAA’s report card, and federal Arctic science remains fragmented: Natural Resources Canada tracks permafrost and glacier change, Fisheries and Oceans Canada produces Arctic seas reports, while Environment and Climate Change Canada monitors snow and ice.

Dr. Archambault said the situation resembles that of a medical patient who hears only from specialists, without reference to a broader prognosis.

“What we need now is to synthesize, to bring all these different streams of information together in a more cohesive way,” he said.

For John Smol, an ecologist at Queen’s University in Kingston who was just awarded Norway’s Mohn Prize for outstanding Arctic research, the distributed and costly nature of polar science means the region is getting less attention than it should from Canadians over all.

“We’re fickle with the environment,” Dr. Smol said, noting how the country’s vast northern wilderness seems to recede when the national discussion is focused on more immediate matters.

In the long run, however, Canada must prioritize the Arctic and its rapid transformation. Otherwise, he added, “we’re sleepwalking to disaster.”

Crit­ics say cli­mate plan leaves res­id­ents at risk

This article was written by Kate Allen and was published in the Toronto Star on December 3, 2025.

As Toronto con­tin­ues to grapple with extreme weather, a slate of pro­pos­als meant to address what the city calls its “most urgent cli­mate threat” — extreme heat — delays long­anti­cip­ated meas­ures by years and leaves vul­ner­able res­id­ents at risk, crit­ics say.

After a severe heat wave last June exposed what Mayor Olivia Chow called “ser­i­ous gaps” in the city’s heat relief strategy, coun­cil dir­ec­ted staff to report back with improve­ments. That request came amid ongo­ing efforts, endorsed by coun­cil, to cre­ate a max­imum indoor tem­per­at­ure bylaw that would enforce safe liv­ing con­di­tions for renters.

On Tues­day, city staff released a pack­age of updates to those plans that crit­ics called “dis­ap­point­ing.” While the reports touch on everything from drink­ing­water trail­ers to air­con­di­tion­ing grants to pro­act­ive pub­lic pool repairs, crit­ics said they don’t pro­tect res­id­ents who need it the most, and that a “very sig­ni­fic­ant delay” in imple­ment­ing the most impact­ful meas­ure — the max­imum tem­per­at­ure bylaw — will leave many Toronto­n­ians exposed to harm. The pro­pos­als will be con­sidered by the mayor’s exec­ut­ive com­mit­tee next week.

“My patients can’t wait,” said Dr. Sam­antha Green, a fam­ily phys­i­cian and pres­id­ent of the Cana­dian Asso­ci­ation of Phys­i­cians for the Envir­on­ment. “I have patients who are suf­fer­ing from heat­related ill­ness when we are exper­i­en­cing extreme heat in Toronto. And we exper­i­enced a lot this sum­mer,” Green said.

Last sum­mer’s heat was extreme, the reports make clear: Toronto suffered through six sep­ar­ate heat­waves with a com­bined 29 heat warn­ing days. Another report released Tues­day found that of all the cli­mate threats facing Toronto, “heat will intensify most rap­idly, rede­fin­ing how sum­mers are exper­i­enced with every passing year.”

Last June, when Pear­son broke a Humi­dex record, the city struggled. Res­id­ents were frus­trated to find pools closed after the city touted them as places to cool off, and advoc­ates warned that unhoused people had nowhere safe to go.

In one of Tues­day’s reports, staff admit­ted that the city “did not suf­fi­ciently pre­pare pools to oper­ate,” lead­ing 21 of them to tem­por­ar­ily sus­pend oper­a­tions on one day. Those chal­lenges were related to the city’s policies to keep its own employ­ees safe, an oblig­a­tion under Ontario law — and one the Star pre­vi­ously repor­ted had been flagged by the Min­istry of Labour four years earlier.

The city says it boos­ted pool staff­ing levels by 30 per cent this sum­mer to ensure life­guards and other aquat­ics staff could take neces­sary breaks to pre­vent heat ill­ness, as well as added fans and other cool­ing and safety meas­ures. Those extra staff and resources cost an addi­tional $2.9 mil­lion, a fig­ure that staff anti­cip­ates requir­ing again next year, assum­ing sum­mer’s heat is sim­il­arly severe.

The reports called the reli­able oper­a­tion of pools “crit­ical to an effect­ive heat response.” Experts said this focus is mis­guided.

“Pools are nice to have, but they are not a solu­tion to pro­tect the most vul­ner­able,” said Green.

The people most at risk of harm from heat include infants and very young chil­dren, the eld­erly, people with lim­ited mobil­ity or chronic ill­nesses, unhoused people, and work­ers exposed to heat on the job. Pools are of lim­ited or no use to these groups: Con­struc­tion work­ers, babies, and eld­erly people who need help walk­ing can’t just pop over to Sunnyside and jump in.

The most import­ant strategy, experts say, and one backed up by pub­lic health evid­ence, is to main­tain safe tem­per­at­ures in indoor liv­ing spaces. After the west­ern heat dome in 2021, the B.C. cor­oner found that nearly all of the 619 people who died were found in homes, most without access to air­con­di­tion­ing.

Last year, coun­cil endorsed a plan to cre­ate a max­imum tem­per­at­ure bylaw that would require land­lords to keep res­id­ences below 26 C, and asked staff to come back with a plan to imple­ment the new rules. Instead of an imple­ment­a­tion plan, Tues­day’s report recom­mends car­ry­ing out a “com­pli­ance ana­lysis” in 2026 and report­ing back to coun­cil in 2027 with the res­ults of that study.

Youth cli­mate policy law­suit in limbo

Ford gov­ern­ment repeals emis­sion­ reduc­tion law at heart of court case brought by stu­dents

The 2019 lawsuit launched by, clockwise from top left, Sophia Mathur, Shelby Gagnon, Beze Gray, Madison Dyck, Shaelyn Wabegijig, Alex Neufeldt and Zoë KearyMatzner, argued the province's climate targets infringed upon the Charter rights of youth and future generations by failing to ensure their health, safety and freedom.

This article was written by Marco Chown Oved and was published in the Toronto Stat on November 26, 2025.

Less than a week before a sem­inal cli­mate law­suit was set to be heard in court, the pro­vin­cial gov­ern­ment has repealed the emis­sion­reduc­tion law at the heart of the case.

The hear­ing was can­celled after gov­ern­ment law­yers sub­mit­ted that the law under­pin­ning the case was no longer in force, cast­ing into doubt a six­year legal odys­sey that attempts to hold Premier Doug Ford’s Pro­gress­ive Con­ser­vat­ive gov­ern­ment account­able for its cli­mate policy.

At a hear­ing sched­uled for next Monday, seven youth brought together by Eco­justice, the envir­on­mental organ­iz­a­tion that filed the case, were set to argue the province’s weak­en­ing of emis­sion­reduc­tion tar­gets in 2018 con­sti­tuted a breach of their Charter rights because it was not con­sist­ent with action sci­ent­ists say is neces­sary to main­tain a liv­able planet.

On Tues­day, the province repealed those tar­gets alto­gether, prompt­ing a judge to adjourn the hear­ing so the implic­a­tions of the gov­ern­ment’s legis­lat­ive changes could be assessed.

“When someone has to change the rules mid­game, it’s usu­ally because they’re los­ing,” said Nader Hasan, lead coun­sel for the youth applic­ants. “The tim­ing of these `amend­ments’ is not coin­cid­ental. These changes are yet another attempt by the Ford gov­ern­ment to sidestep its respons­ib­il­ity to pro­tect young people and future gen­er­a­tions from the harms of cli­mate change.”

Fraser Thom­son, a law­yer for Eco­justice, said he intends to argue the case should remain alive and will ask the judge for a new hear­ing, though it’s not clear the case can pro­ceed now that the law it was based on is no longer in force.

In a state­ment, Ford’s office did not address the repeal of emis­sion reduc­tion tar­gets, say­ing instead, “In the face of eco­nomic uncer­tainty, with (U.S.) Pres­id­ent Trump tak­ing dir­ect aim at our eco­nomy, our gov­ern­ment is tak­ing a hard look at the unne­ces­sary pro­cesses that have held us back.”

“All options are on the table, and we will con­tinue to invest in energy effi­ciency, elec­tri­city gen­er­a­tion, stor­age and dis­tri­bu­tion to reduce emis­sions while stream­lin­ing pro­cesses, keep­ing costs low for fam­il­ies,” wrote Ford spokes­per­son Han­nah Jensen in an email.

Launched in 2019, the cli­mate law­suit brought together seven girls and non­bin­ary youth from across the province, some of whom were still in ele­ment­ary school. They argued Ford’s weakened cli­mate tar­gets allow 200 addi­tional mega­tons of car­bon to be emit­ted, which will accel­er­ate cli­mate change and infringe upon the Charter rights of youth and future gen­er­a­tions by fail­ing to ensure their health, safety and free­dom.

It was the first cli­mate case in Canada to have a full hear­ing on its mer­its, dur­ing which the province made no attempt to defend its legis­lated tar­gets, instead arguing they were a com­mu­nic­a­tions exer­cise and had no effect on emis­sions.

A judge dis­missed the case, but the youth appealed and won, with the Court of Appeal send­ing the case back to Super­ior Court for a new hear­ing. The province appealed that decision to the Supreme Court, which declined to hear the case, set­ting the stage for Monday’s pivotal trial — some six years after the case was first filed.

“Over the time that this case has been going on, I’ve been able to see the cli­mate crisis unfold in real time,” said Zoë Keary­Matzner, who was 12 and in grade 8 when the case was launched and is now 19 and in second year at uni­versity. “Since this case began, tens of thou­sands of people have died as a res­ult of nat­ural dis­asters, heat­waves and floods across the world. But along­side that, we’ve also seen some glim­mers of hope: move­ments around the world have pro­duced real res­ults and achieved remark­able wins.”

While global emis­sions con­tinue to rise, car­bon releases in some of the world’s lead­ing developed eco­nom­ies have star­ted to fall, some dra­mat­ic­ally. In the U.S, green­house gas emis­sions have fallen more than 20 per cent from their peak in 2005. Ger­man emis­sions are down by nearly half since their peak in 1979. Much of this is due to a col­lapse in the burn­ing of coal and the recent blitz in the con­struc­tion of renew­able energy: wind and solar.

Emis­sions in Rus­sia and India, however, con­tinue to rise, and Chinese emis­sions over­took the U.S. as the largest in the world in 2006 and con­tinue to increase. The rapid deploy­ment of renew­ables has star­ted bend­ing those curves down­ward, and some early estim­ates pre­dict 2025 could have lower emis­sions than 2024, mark­ing the peak of global emis­sions and the begin­ning of an age of reduc­tions toward net zero by 2050.

Canada’s emis­sions have dropped about 8.5 per cent since 2005, but have been rel­at­ively flat for the last few years. Even though emis­sions have fallen or stayed flat in vir­tu­ally every sec­tor, oils­ands emis­sions have risen 75 per cent, can­cel­ling out much of that pro­gress.

Ontario’s emis­sions are down by 22 per cent since 2005, which puts the province within strik­ing dis­tance of the now­repealed 30 per cent tar­get by 2030. The pre­vi­ous tar­get, before it was weakened by the Ford gov­ern­ment, would have been the equi­val­ent of a 55 per cent reduc­tion by 2030.

“At its core, the ques­tion in this case is whether the gov­ern­ment’s fuel­ling of the cli­mate crisis viol­ates the fun­da­mental Charter­pro­tec­ted rights of Ontari­ans,” said Eco­justice’s Thom­son.

“The courts have already ruled that it’s indis­put­able that Ontari­ans are exper­i­en­cing an increased risk of death and increased threats to secur­ity of the per­son as a res­ult of cli­mate change, and crit­ic­ally, that by not tak­ing steps to reduce green­house gas emis­sions, Ontario is con­trib­ut­ing to these risks.”

“It kind of feels like the urgency of cli­mate change is not really something that is com­pat­ible with the Cana­dian judi­cial sys­tem, with how long everything takes,” said Alex Neufeldt, one of the applic­ants.

Opinion | One major contributor to climate change is being under-reported

cattle bc.JPG
Cattle are seen in a field near Ashcroft, B.C. in 2017. “Nearly a third of global greenhouse gas emissions come from the way we produce food; meat, especially beef, is by far the biggest contributor,” writes Jessica Scott-Reid. JONATHAN HAYWARD THE CANADIAN PRESS

This article was written by Jessica Scott-Reid and was published in the Toronto Star on November 23, 2025. Jessica Scott-Reid is a Canadian journalist, independent animal advocate, and a correspondent for Sentient Media.  

After Hurricane Melissa left dozens dead across the Caribbean, experts said the disaster is a stark example of how climate change is transforming weather, in this case infusing hurricanes with heat and moisture until they barely resemble storms of the past.

While U.S. President Donald Trump claims that climate change is a hoax, the science remains very clear: 2024 was the hottest year on record, with global temperatures about 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels. From record-breaking heatwaves and floods, to wildfires that are now four times more frequent than in the 1980s, the evidence of human-caused climate chaos is undeniable.

What remains far from clear, though, are the causes of this planet-heating — and the solutions. This confusion leaves much of the public in the dark about our own complicity in climate change and about how we can help. And too often, media coverage on climate only deepens that confusion.

In most media coverage about the causes of climate change, fossil fuels, transportation and manufacturing tend to be the targets. Solutions are then presented as things like renewable energies, electric cars and recycling. But second only to fossil fuels is another major cause that is rarely covered in media: agriculture, particularly animal farming.

Nearly a third of global greenhouse gas emissions come from the way we produce food; meat, especially beef, is by far the biggest contributor. Yet, a recent analysis of top American news outlets shows that less than 4 per cent of climate stories even mention animal agriculture as a cause. 

The analysis was led by Sentient Media, a U.S.-based non-profit newsroom that focuses exclusively on factory farming and its impacts on animals, people and the planet. I work as the outlet’s culture and disinformation correspondent, and took part in the data collection process.

For the analysis, my colleagues and I gathered recent online articles that discussed climate change, from The Washington Post, Reuters, The Boston Globe, The New York Times, CNN, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, the Los Angeles Times, the Star Tribune, the Chicago Tribune, and The Guardian — 960 articles in total. The analysis was then performed using Anthropic AI, revealing that only 36, or 3.8 per cent of the articles mention animal farming, or meat, as a cause of climate change.

As someone who has been covering this topic in Canadian and U.S. media for the last decade, these findings are frustrating though not unfathomable. As I regularly shout from my lonely island here in the opinion section — or from climate-savvy publications like Corporate Knights Magazine, Vox.com, and Sentient Media — about the role our food systems and eating habits play in the destruction of our planet, I’ve come to understand something else: meat and climate are an uncomfortable pairing for many mainstream editors and readers.

Nonetheless, I can’t help wonder how much longer the media can tiptoe around the cow in the room; because until we treat animal agriculture with the same scrutiny we do oil, transportation and manufacturing, our climate coverage will remain half-told.

As Mark Hertsgaard, executive director and co-founder of Covering Climate Now — a non-profit that supports stronger climate journalism — recently told The Guardian, this lack of coverage is “not necessarily nefarious.” However, he adds, “as the climate crisis has accelerated, it is increasingly indefensible for news coverage of climate change not to make it clear that this crisis is driven by very specific human activities — primarily burning fossil fuels. And in second place is food, agriculture, forestry.”

Over at Sentient Media, we are presenting this information as an opportunity for journalists and newsrooms to do better, to expand their knowledge and reporting, to more holistically inform the public. And we continue to do our own part to counter meat industry disinformation, hold industries and governments accountable, and highlight the science of sustainable food systems that rely more on plant production than animal farming. 

Because at a time when politics are increasingly working against science, and climate change-infused disasters are becoming too common, the job of journalists to tell the whole story about climate change has never been more crucial.

New Global Study: Dangerous Nighttime Heat Rising in 83% of Global Cities Analyzed, Becoming More Oppressive, And More Frequent

This article was written by Globe Newswire and was published in the Toronto Star on November 19, 2025.

While leaders have been focusing on avoiding breaching the +1.5°C threshold of the Paris Agreement, a sweeping new scientific analysis of the most dangerous summer weather conditions across 100 major global cities revealed that minimum nighttime temperatures have been rising up to 10 times faster than daytime average highs in many global cities during oppressively hot weather.

The study by Climate Resilience for All, Extreme Heat and the Shrinking Diurnal Range: A Global Evaluation of Oppressive Air Mass Character and Frequency, analyzed weather data over a 30-year period from 1994 to 2024, isolating the two types of weather conditions, or “air masses”, considered most dangerous for human health: “dry tropical” (DT) weather, which is hot and dry, and “moist tropical” (MT) weather which is hot and humid.

Heat exposure has traditionally been measured by exposure to daytime high temperatures and increasing “average” temperatures. This study points clearly to the urgent need for preventative and responsive actions on extreme heat to explicitly account for and address the rapidly rising threat of hotter nights.

Global, regional, and city level data visualizations can be accessed via this link.

The analysis found:

Increases in nighttime temperatures, and decreases in the gap between daytime highs and nighttime lows across much of the globe

  • 83% of cities in the study are experiencing sustained, higher nighttime temperatures.
  • Nighttime temperatures are rising fastest in Melbourne, Australia (dry tropical), where they increase by 1°C every 5.36 years, and Dubai, UAE (moist tropical), where they rise by 1°C every 8.81 years.
    • During moist tropical weather, Santa Maria, Upington, Seoul, Samarkand, Paris, Kuwait City, Portland, and Abadan are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
      • Africa: 13 out of 15.
      • Asia: 18 out of 22.
      • Central and South America: 10 out of 11.
      • Europe: Seven out of 12.
      • Middle East: 5 out of 5.
      • North America: 14 out of 16.
      • Oceania: Nine out of 11.
      • 83% of cities in the study are experiencing sustained, higher nighttime temperatures.
      • Nighttime temperatures are rising fastest in Melbourne, Australia (dry tropical), where they increase by 1°C every 5.36 years, and Dubai, UAE (moist tropical), where they rise by 1°C every 8.81 years.
        • During moist tropical weather, Santa Maria, Upington, Seoul, Samarkand, Paris, Kuwait City, Portland, and Abadan are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
          • Africa: 13 out of 15.
          • Asia: 18 out of 22.
          • Central and South America: 10 out of 11.
          • Europe: Seven out of 12.
          • Middle East: 5 out of 5.
          • North America: 14 out of 16.
          • Oceania: Nine out of 11.
        • During dry tropical weather, Melbourne, Agadir, Seoul, Mumbai, Cairo, Luxor, Kuwait City, and Santiago are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
          • Africa: 10 out of 14.
          • Asia: 13 out of 22.
          • Central and South America: Seven out of 11.
          • Europe: Four out of six.
          • Middle East: Six out of seven.
          • North Americas: 11 out of 14
          • Oceania: Five out of nine.
          • Some of the regions show weaker differentiation, possibly because dry tropical weather types are rarely present in the cities we evaluated in those regions.
          • 83% of cities in the study are experiencing sustained, higher nighttime temperatures.
          • Nighttime temperatures are rising fastest in Melbourne, Australia (dry tropical), where they increase by 1°C every 5.36 years, and Dubai, UAE (moist tropical), where they rise by 1°C every 8.81 years.
            • During moist tropical weather, Santa Maria, Upington, Seoul, Samarkand, Paris, Kuwait City, Portland, and Abadan are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
              • Africa: 13 out of 15.Asia: 18 out of 22.Central and South America: 10 out of 11.Europe: Seven out of 12.Middle East: 5 out of 5.North America: 14 out of 16.Oceania: Nine out of 11.
              During dry tropical weather, Melbourne, Agadir, Seoul, Mumbai, Cairo, Luxor, Kuwait City, and Santiago are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
              • Africa: 10 out of 14.Asia: 13 out of 22.Central and South America: Seven out of 11.Europe: Four out of six.Middle East: Six out of seven.North Americas: 11 out of 14Oceania: Five out of nine.Some of the regions show weaker differentiation, possibly because dry tropical weather types are rarely present in the cities we evaluated in those regions.
              83% of cities in the study are experiencing sustained, higher nighttime temperatures.Nighttime temperatures are rising fastest in Melbourne, Australia (dry tropical), where they increase by 1°C every 5.36 years, and Dubai, UAE (moist tropical), where they rise by 1°C every 8.81 years.
              • During moist tropical weather, Santa Maria, Upington, Seoul, Samarkand, Paris, Kuwait City, Portland, and Abadan are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
                • Africa: 13 out of 15.Asia: 18 out of 22.Central and South America: 10 out of 11.Europe: Seven out of 12.Middle East: 5 out of 5.North America: 14 out of 16.Oceania: Nine out of 11.
                During dry tropical weather, Melbourne, Agadir, Seoul, Mumbai, Cairo, Luxor, Kuwait City, and Santiago are seeing the biggest decrease between daytime and nighttime temperatures. The number of cities seeing decreases per region breaks down as follows:
                • Africa: 10 out of 14.Asia: 13 out of 22.Central and South America: Seven out of 11.Europe: Four out of six.Middle East: Six out of seven.North Americas: 11 out of 14Oceania: Five out of nine.Some of the regions show weaker differentiation, possibly because dry tropical weather types are rarely present in the cities we evaluated in those regions.
            Increases in the frequency of extreme heat days
            • Over the 30-year study period, summertime moist tropical weather patterns have increased close to or over 50 percent in Central and South America, Oceania, and Africa – and have grown by 37 percent globally. Dry tropical weather patterns have grown by 13 percent over the same period, with the largest increase in Australia, which had a 29 percent rise.
          • “Before this analysis, we did not know how rapidly nighttime heat has been rising within the most dangerous air masses,” said Larry Kalkstein, climatologist, Chief Heat Science Advisor at Climate Resilience for All, and the study’s lead author. “It is critical for us to understand how the heat of summer—that sends people to the emergency room—is shifting, and what we are overlooking when we talk about it.” “We want this analysis to mobilize city and health leaders to urgently broaden their view of what is a 24-hour heat crisis. This research uncovers a critical blind spot in our understanding of extreme heat,” said Kathy Baughman McLeod, CEO of Climate Resilience for All.High nighttime temperatures prevent the human body from cooling down, increasing risks of heat exhaustion, dehydration, and cardiovascular stress. When sleep is disrupted by heat, the body loses its ability to recover from daytime exposure, heightening the danger of illness and death—especially for older adults, women, and those living in poorly ventilated housing.Heat warning systems are focused on high daytime temperatures and currently minimize the impact of overnight temperatures. The study offers guidance and urges health officials and policymakers to integrate these changing patterns into their work and to ramp up regionally targeted heat warning systems that account for the growing probability of multi-day, high-intensity events that offer little nocturnal relief.About Climate Resilience for AllClimate Resilience for All is a global adaptation NGO dedicated to protecting the health, income, and dignity of women on the frontlines of extreme heat.

Brazil releases draft pro­posal for COP30 talks

Major issues facing nego­ti­at­ors include $300B in aid, trade bar­ri­ers, trans­par­ency

This article was written by Melina Walling, Seth Borenstein and Anton L. Delgado, and was published in the Toronto Star on November 19, 2025.

With a dir­ect let­ter sent to nations and a draft text released Tues­day, host coun­try Brazil is shift­ing the UN cli­mate con­fer­ence into a higher gear.

The let­ter sent late Monday comes dur­ing the final week of the first cli­mate sum­mit in the Amazon rain­forest, a key reg­u­lator of cli­mate because trees absorb car­bon diox­ide, a green­house gas that warms the planet. COP30 pres­id­ent André Corrêa do Lago later released a pro­posal with 21 options for nego­ti­at­ors to choose from on four sticky and inter­re­lated issues.

“It’s text Tues­day and we’re off to the races,” said World Resources Insti­tute’s David Waskow, who said the nine­page pro­posal “addresses some of the core ques­tions that have been part of the pres­id­ency con­sulta­tions.”

The four key polit­ical issues are whether coun­tries should be told to do bet­ter on their new cli­mate plans; details on hand­ing out $300 bil­lion (U.S.) in pledged cli­mate aid; deal­ing with trade bar­ri­ers over cli­mate; and improv­ing trans­par­ency, which Waskow said is really about report­ing cli­mate pro­gress.

While the options in the draft text “are a first step, what’s required now is to elim­in­ate the options that add to delay and ignore the urgency of action,” said Jasper Inventor, deputy pro­gram dir­ector of Green­peace Inter­na­tional.

Tues­day was also a day for speeches from high­level min­is­ters.

“At this very moment, there are people in a num­ber of coun­tries across the world, includ­ing my own, who want to deny the crisis even exists or delay the urgent action we need to address it,” said U.K. Energy Sec­ret­ary Ed Miliband.

Sophie Her­mans, the Neth­er­lands’ deputy prime min­is­ter, said “the trans­ition is no longer about set­ting tar­gets. It is about execut­ing them. And exe­cu­tion requires real­ism, plan­ning and the abil­ity to adjust when cir­cum­stances change.”

The doc­u­ments ask lead­ers to hash out many aspects of a poten­tial agree­ment by Wed­nes­day so that much is out of the way before the final set of decisions Fri­day, when the con­fer­ence is sched­uled to end. Cli­mate sum­mits routinely go past their last day as nations face bal­an­cing domestic con­cerns with the major shifts needed to pro­tect the envir­on­ment and cut green­house gas emis­sions.

Brazil Pres­id­ent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was sched­uled to return to Belem on Wed­nes­day and the dead­line may be timed for him to push parties together or cel­eb­rate some kind of draft agree­ment, observ­ers said. But many don’t think coun­tries will actu­ally be ready with everything Brazilian lead­ers have asked for by Wed­nes­day. That timeline is “pretty ambi­tious,” said Alden Meyer, a senior asso­ciate at cli­mate think tank E3G.

Brazil’s guid­ance for the sum­mit, called COP30, is rais­ing hopes for sig­ni­fic­ant meas­ures to fight global warm­ing, which could range from a road map to move away from fossil fuels like oil and coal to more money to help nations build out clean ener­gies like wind and solar.

“There are import­ant con­ces­sions we expect from all sides,” do Lago said Monday. “It is said you have to give to receive.”

Some have expressed con­cern the agree­ments will be short of what’s needed.

“The draft text might have the right ingredi­ents, but it’s been cooked up in a way that leaves a bit­ter after­taste,” said Andreas Sieber of 350.org, which works to end use of fossil fuels. Without a fossil­fuel trans­ition at the core, the doc­u­ments are “weak and empty, a dish with its main com­pon­ent left out.”

But Monday night, Meyer, of E3G, said the optim­istic spirit of the host coun­try “is start­ing to get a little infec­tious” and that is part of build­ing trust and good­will among nations.

“I sense ambi­tion here, I sense a determ­in­a­tion,” former Ger­man cli­mate envoy Jen­nifer Mor­gan said.

Cli­mate sum­mits — like the UN's COP30 in Brazil, which is sched­uled to end Fri­day — routinely go past their last day as nations face bal­an­cing domestic con­cerns with the major shifts needed to pro­tect the envir­on­ment and cut green­house gas emis­sions.

As nations push for ambition at climate talks, chair says they may get their wish

This article was written by Seth Borenstein, Anton L. Delgado, and Melina Walling, and was published in the Globe & Mail on November 17, 2025.

Activists participate in a climate protest during the COP30 UN Climate Summit on Saturday in Belem, Brazil. The urgency of climate change is causing some negotiators to push for more action.

Going into United Nations climate negotiations, the Brazilian hosts weren’t looking for big end-of-session pronouncements on lofty goals. This conference was supposed to hyperfocus on “implementation” of past promises not yet kept. Throw that out the window. The urgency of climate change is causing some negotiators to push for more big-picture action – on weak plans to cut emissions of heat-trapping gases, on too little money to help nations wracked by climate change, on putting teeth into phasing out coal, oil and gas. Because of that pressure to do more – including from Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva – the diplomat chairing the talks said Saturday he’ll consider a big picture, end-of-negotiations communiqué, sometimes known as a decision or cover text.

“I think things have changed, which is a very good thing,” said veteran observer Jean Su of the Center for Biological Diversity. “So I think there’s momentum that we will get some type of decision text, and our hope is that in particular there’s going to be some commitment on phasing out fossil fuels.”

“I would say that what’s at stake now is probably higher than the last several COPs because you’re looking at an ambition gap,” said former Philippine negotiator Jasper Inventor, international program director at Greenpeace International. “There’s a lot of expectation, there’s a lot of excitement here, but there’s also a lot of political signals that’s been sent by President Lula.”

“We’re at the middle of the COP, and at the middle of COP is usually where the negotiators stare each other eye-to-eye. It’s almost like a staring contest,” Mr. Inventor said. “But next week, this is where the negotiations need to happen, where political decisions are made by the ministers.”

Because this process stems from the Paris Agreement on climate, which is mostly voluntary, these end statements grab headlines and set global tone but have limited power. The last few COP end statements have made still-unfulfilled pledges for rich countries to give money to poor nations to cope with climate change and the world to phase out fossil fuels.

Key among those issues is the idea of telling nations to go back to the drawing board on what experts consider inadequate climate-fighting plans submitted this year.

In the 2015 Paris agreement, which is being celebrated here on its 10th anniversary, nations are supposed to have submitted climate-fighting, emissions-curbing plans every five years. So far 116 of 193 countries have filed theirs this year, but what they promised isn’t much. United Nations and Climate Action Tracker, a group of scientists, calculates that these new pledges barely reduced future projections for Earth’s warming.

Even if the world does all it promises, Earth would be about seven-tenths of a degree Celsius above the Paris goal of limiting warming to 1.5 C above preindustrial times, the groups estimated.

So small island nations, led by Palau, asked that this conference confront the gap between what’s planned in national pledges and what’s needed to keep the world from hitting the temperature danger zone.

That’s not on the agenda for these talks. Nor are specific details on how to fulfill last year’s pledge by rich nations to provide US$300-billion annually in climate financial aid.

So when nations early on wanted to address these issues, COP president André Corrêa do Lago, a veteran Brazilian diplomat, set up special small confabs to try to decide if the controversial topics should be discussed. On Saturday, the conference punted the issue to the incoming ministers.

“The parties will decide how they want to proceed,” Mr. do Lago said at a Saturday evening news conference. Given what countries are saying and past history that usually means a final end-of-COP message to the world, several experts said.

In a casual exchange with a reporter about how the conference is going, Mr. do Lago said: “Eh, could be better but not as bad as it could be.”

UN General Assembly president Annalena Baerbock, the former German foreign minister who has been to 10 of these sessions, told the Associated Press Saturday morning before the evening’s session that she saw “new momentum” in Belem.

“We can fight the climate crisis only together if we commit to a strong mitigation target,” she said. “This means also transitioning away from fossil fuels, investing into renewable energy.”

Two years ago in Dubai, the world agreed to “transition away from fossil fuels,” but last year no mention of that was made and there have been no details on how or when to do this.

Ms. Baerbock hailed as crucial Mr. da Silva’s call during the Leaders’ Summit last week for “a road map for humanity to overcome, in a just and planned way, its dependence on fossil fuels, reverse deforestation, and mobilize the resources needed to do so.”