Canada does not have a moment to lose in safeguarding its sovereignty

This editorial was written and published by the Globe & Mail on January 5, 2025.

It should have been clear in November, 2024, when Donald Trump won re-election that Canada needed to act with urgency to end the drift of (especially) the past decade, during which the federal government dangerously neglected the basics of safeguarding national sovereignty.

The alarm bells were seemingly heeded last spring, when Mr. Trump launched his trade war and started greedily eyeing Canada as the 51st state. Against the odds, the Liberals won re-election under Mark Carney on the promise of an elbowsup response to Mr. Trump’s provocations.

But that promised response has not materialized, despite other worrying developments. In November, the U.S. administration published a National Security Strategy that would dramatically curtail the sovereignty of any Western Hemisphere country, Canada included.

Then came the U.S. military strike on Venezuela on Saturday. Any thought that Canada could simply wait out Mr. Trump’s term in the White House ended this weekend.

There has been no shortage of rhetoric from Prime Minister Mark Carney about the need to expand Canada’s military capacity and to end economic stagnation. What has been lacking for more than a year is action commensurate to the national emergency in which Canada finds itself.

The conundrum that Canada faces is that there is no immediate fix to today’s emergency. It will take years to build a new pipeline, and years to fully rebuild Canada’s military. Which is why there is not a moment more to lose.

The Liberals have talked about doubling non-U.S. exports over the coming decade. But what will happen this year? This month? The Liberals have talked about increasing Canada’s military spending to 5 per cent of GDP by 2035. What steps will be taken in 2026? The Liberals have signed a memorandum with Alberta that sets the stage for an oil pipeline to the Pacific. It’s a solid first step, but when will the next one come?

The right answer, the only answer, must be immediately, for the three herculean tasks of diversifying Canada’s exports, revitalizing the domestic economy and rebuilding this country’s military capacity.

The single biggest step that Ottawa can take in diversifying exports is to ensure a new bitumen pipeline to the West Coast is constructed. The economic logic was unassailable before the U.S. seized Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro. Now, the United States is vowing to ramp up Venezuelan crude production, which would swell supplies of heavy oil for U.S. refiners – driving down prices for Alberta producers. The immediate response must be to green-light additional capacity for the Ottawa-owned Trans Mountain pipeline. The company has said it intends to boost capacity over the next five years. That timeline needs to be accelerated to start this year.

More important, Ottawa must work with Alberta to secure a private proponent in the coming months for a new oil pipeline, underpinned by a commitment that all regulatory approvals will be granted in under two years.

There will need to be consultation and accommodation with Indigenous communities to fulfill Ottawa’s constitutional duty. But the Liberal government must make it clear in those talks (and to any obstructionist premier) that the only question to be discussed is how a pipeline will be built.

The same kind of leadership is needed for the forging of a national economy. The promise of internal free trade has devolved, yet again, into inter-provincial squabbling. The federal government needs to step in to ensure that internal trade barriers are dismantled speedily and permanently.

Ottawa already has the only tool it needs, in the form of its very deep pockets. Federal funds should be made contingent on provinces and territories tearing down trade barriers.

On national defence, the Carney government has taken some initial measures to boost military capacity. But the announcements last year of an increase in defence spending and procurement reform are, at most, an overdue first step.

Recruitment needs to quicken, now. Procurement delays need to end, now. Any minister who attempts to detour spending into regional pork-barrelling should be booted from cabinet. Any staff officer who gets in the way of ending the bureaucratic snarls of procurement must be cashiered.

In June, former U.S. ambassador Kelly Craft told a Toronto business audience that if Canada doesn’t like being called a 51st state, it should stop acting like one. Those may be hard words for Canadians to hear, but they underscore the seriousness of the moment, and the urgency of action.

Min­is­ter won’t prom­ise bill won’t change

This article was written by Alessia Passafiume and was published in the Toronto Star on January 1, 2026.

With her gov­ern­ment under pres­sure to finally elim­in­ate boil­water advisor­ies in First Nations com­munit­ies, the fed­eral min­is­ter respons­ible for Indi­gen­ous ser­vices isn’t com­mit­ting to bring­ing back a defunct clean water bill in the new year as writ­ten — after two provinces objec­ted to it.

That bill, which died when the last fed­eral elec­tion was called, was draf­ted with input from First Nations and sought to ensure they could pro­tect fresh water sources on their own ter­rit­or­ies.

Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney prom­ised chiefs at the Assembly of First Nations’ gath­er­ing early in Decem­ber that new clean water legis­la­tion would come in the spring.

The bill sought to ensure First Nations could pro­tect fresh water sources on their own ter­rit­or­ies

Indi­gen­ous Ser­vices Min­is­ter Mandy Gull­Masty told the Cana­dian Press last sum­mer she was com­mit­ted to rein­tro­du­cing the pre­vi­ous legis­la­tion — des­pite oppos­i­tion from the pro­vin­cial govern­ments in Alberta and Ontario, which warned in a media state­ment that rein­tro­du­cing the bill as writ­ten would “under­mine com­pet­it­ive­ness and delay project devel­op­ment.”

Gull­Masty vowed in the sum­mer the new bill would affirm First Nations have a human right to access clean drink­ing water. She did not explain how that might work after the pas­sage of legis­la­tion in June that speeds up the approval timeline for major infra­struc­ture projects and gives cab­inet the abil­ity to sidestep some envir­on­mental laws.

In a fol­lowup inter­view with the Cana­dian Press earlier in Decem­ber, Gull­Masty would not com­mit to includ­ing the same source water pro­tec­tions in the new bill. She also wouldn’t say if she is push­ing for those pro­tec­tions around the cab­inet table.

“I don’t want to put aside work that has pre­vi­ously been done. I think that’s found­a­tional. But I do think there has to be a com­pon­ent where you are hav­ing that region­al­ized approach,” she said.

“That bill, while it may not have been per­fect, I think has really put a lot of oppor­tun­ity on the table. When we come back in the spring, we will be announ­cing what the bill is going to look like.”

Car­ney prom­ised Cana­dians dur­ing the spring elec­tion cam­paign that his gov­ern­ment would move rap­idly to mater­i­ally improve their lives.

But many Indi­gen­ous lead­ers say the gov­ern­ment’s pro­gress on address­ing their own com­munit­ies’ crit­ical pri­or­it­ies slowed to a crawl over the past 12 months — that 2025 was a lost year for efforts to repair drink­ing water sys­tems, reform the child wel­fare sys­tem and erad­ic­ate tuber­cu­losis in the North.

In early 2016, the Cana­dian Human Rights Tribunal ruled that Ott­awa’s chronic under­fund­ing of First Nations child wel­fare ser­vices was dis­crim­in­at­ory because it meant kids liv­ing on­reserve were given fewer ser­vices than those liv­ing off­reserve.

The tribunal tasked Canada with reach­ing an agree­ment with First Nations to reform the sys­tem and com­pensate those who were torn from their fam­il­ies and put in foster care.

The Trudeau gov­ern­ment, fol­low­ing nego­ti­ations with the Chiefs of Ontario, Nish­nawbe Aski Nation and the Assembly of First Nations, presen­ted a $47.8 bil­lion com­pens­a­tion and reform pack­age in 2024. First Nations chiefs and their prox­ies voted to reject it that same year; many opposed it because the fund­ing would only be avail­able for 10 years and would be sub­ject to annual reviews.

After the tribunal ordered both sides to present it with new child wel­fare set­tle­ment plans by the end of Decem­ber, it ended up with two pro­pos­als. Ott­awa’s would provide $35.5 bil­lion in fund­ing up to 20332034, fol­lowed by an ongo­ing com­mit­ment of $4.4 bil­lion annu­ally. The First Nations pro­posal, mean­while, calls for the co­devel­op­ment of a stat­utory fund­ing mech­an­ism between First Nations and Ott­awa.

Gull­Masty told the Cana­dian Press she has spent a lot of time ana­lyz­ing the file, learn­ing what dif­fer­ent groups want and think­ing through approaches to reform.

“We’re obliged to respond to the tribunal, but we are also obliged to respond to com­munit­ies that are ask­ing for their own pro­cess,” she said.

Focus­ing on energy might help in fight for cli­mate

This opinion was written by David Olive and was published in the Toronto Star on December 31, 2025.

In Mark Car­ney’s telling, he is still in the van­guard of fight­ing cli­mate change.

That asser­tion is, on the sur­face, dif­fi­cult to sus­tain given the prime min­is­ter’s appar­ent retreat on the cli­mate front.

Car­ney scrapped the national con­sumer car­bon tax soon after he became prime min­is­ter in March.

His “nation­build­ing” projects under con­sid­er­a­tion for fast­track­ing unveiled this year include fossil fuel devel­op­ments.

And the high­pro­file entente Car­ney nego­ti­ated between Ott­awa and Alberta in Novem­ber unwinds major cli­mate change policies of the Trudeau gov­ern­ment.

The con­tro­ver­sial “memor­andum of under­stand­ing” between the two gov­ern­ments effect­ively green­lights a second crude oil pipeline from the Alberta oilp­atch to the B.C. coast — a sis­ter to the Trans Moun­tain oil pipeline (TMX) that began oper­a­tions in 2024.

The TMX reduces Canada’s reli­ance on the U.S. mar­ket for oil exports. Almost half of its volume in its first year of oper­a­tion went to non­U.S. mar­kets, not­ably China.

The start­ing point for Car­ney’s energy policy might be an off­hand remark he made in one of sev­eral reveal­ing year­end tele­vi­sion inter­views he gave just before Christ­mas.

“I am a politi­cian, but I’m still a prag­mat­ist,” Car­ney told the CBC.

Canada con­tin­ues to fight cli­mate change, Car­ney asserts, but with a more prac­tical approach.

“Cli­mate change is con­tinu­ing remorse­lessly,” Car­ney said.

In address­ing it more effect­ively, “there is a moral imper­at­ive, a moral oblig­a­tion to future gen­er­a­tions,” Car­ney said. Act­ing on that imper­at­ive, in Car­ney’s view, requires more com­pre­hens­ive policies.

They con­sist, in a nut­shell, of ramp­ing up pro­duc­tion of both “clean energy,” with major invest­ments in hydro­elec­tri­city and nuc­lear power, and fossil fuels, because “the world is going to use hydro­car­bons for com­ing dec­ades” under every scen­ario experts put for­ward, Car­ney said.

For Car­ney the ques­tion is: “What kind of hydro­car­bons are going to be used?” The answer, he said, is “low cost, low risk, low car­bon. If Canada is going to con­tinue to sup­ply hydro­car­bons, it needs to be low car­bon.”

Mean­while, Car­ney said, “we’re going to grow clean energy in this coun­try at a scale never seen before.”

Is it pos­sible for Canada to become an energy super­power, a trans­form­a­tion that Car­ney has prom­ised Cana­dians, and still meet our net­zero emis­sions tar­gets for green­house gases?

In Car­ney’s vis­ion, squar­ing that circle is pos­sible with a new approach. That approach is to develop every kind of energy source, and to pair reg­u­la­tions with sig­ni­fic­ant invest­ment.

“We have too much reg­u­la­tion and not enough action,” Car­ney said of the energy policies he inher­ited.

And it’s true that with all the reg­u­la­tions, lim­it­a­tions and bans imposed on the energy sec­tor by the Trudeau gov­ern­ment, Canada is still far short of meet­ing its emis­sions reduc­tion tar­gets.

Car­ney vowed that his gov­ern­ment is “one hun­dred per cent focused on doing things that are going to reduce emis­sions.”

Those things are going to cost scores of bil­lions of dol­lars. They also prom­ise to gen­er­ate con­sid­er­able eco­nomic activ­ity.

They include low­car­bon liquified nat­ural gas plants (LNG), a new clean elec­tri­city grid in B.C., clean­power inter­ties between provinces, the mini­nuc­lear react­ors Ontario has under devel­op­ment, the world’s first zero­car­bon cop­per mine in Saskat­chewan, and a huge wind farm off the Nova Sco­tia coast.

Car­ney expects that most of the money for those trans­form­at­ive projects will come from the private sec­tor and not the pub­lic purse, a con­trast with the $34­bil­lion Ott­awa spent build­ing the TMX.

The memor­andum of under­stand­ing between Ott­awa and Alberta is something of a tem­plate. Alberta gets favour­able Ott­awa con­sid­er­a­tion of a second crude oil pipeline to the B.C. coast; removal of planned Trudeau­era caps on oilp­atch emis­sions; and a lift­ing of the fed­eral oil tanker ban off the B.C. coast.

In return, the Alberta oilp­atch builds a mult­i­bil­lion­dol­lar car­bon cap­ture and stor­age facil­ity that removes 16 mega­tons of car­bon from its oil and gas pro­duc­tion — roughly equal to tak­ing 90 per cent of Alberta’s cars and trucks off the road.

It also removes about 75 per cent of meth­ane emis­sions, a more potent con­trib­utor to cli­mate change than CO2. And the oilp­atch must pay more than six times the cur­rent indus­trial car­bon tax — an incent­ive to decar­bon­ize.

For Canada to pion­eer “decar­bon­ized” hydro­car­bons is, Car­ney said, “an enorm­ous oppor­tun­ity for this coun­try to leapfrog the United States.

“The United States has taken its eye off the ball on this — they’ve really down­graded it.”

So, the goal is to become a cleanen­ergy super­power, an advant­age over rival hydro­car­bon pro­du­cers the U.S., the Middle East and Rus­sia.

Much of the money to trans­form the Cana­dian energy sec­tor will come from abroad, Car­ney believes.

“Vir­tu­ally every­one wants to do more with Canada,” said Car­ney, who spent much of 2025 trav­el­ling in Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East.

In addi­tion to Canada’s polit­ical sta­bil­ity, “we’re an increas­ingly con­fid­ent nation that has ambi­tions,” Car­ney said. “So, people want to deal with us.”

More energy, less minister Tim Hodgson’s approach in Ottawa is all about the deal

This article was written by Adam Radwanski and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 20, 2025.

Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Tim Hodgson arrives for a meeting of the federal cabinet in West Block on Parliament Hill in Ottawa.

Tim Hodgson is not much for pleasantries. The Bay Street-minded minister is keen to work with business to get pitches ready for prime time. If he offends some sensibilities in Ottawa along the way, so be it

For companies that arrive cap-in-hand to pitch energy or mining projects that might meet Canada’s moment of economic reckoning, a sit-down with the most influential member of Prime Minister Mark Carney’s cabinet can be a novel and jarring experience. Tim Hodgson isn’t much for the pleasantries that usually kick off such meetings, sometimes at length, with other ministers. Nor does he make broadly enthusiastic if non-committal noises about whatever is on the table, being gentle in discussing qualms or potential roadblocks, or spending much time talking about where the project might fit into the wider policy landscape.

Instead, Mr. Hodgson – who this year went straight from a long career as an investment banker to being the country’s Energy and Natural Resources Minister – tends to almost immediately go deeply and unsparingly into the proposal’s financial fundamentals.

If he thinks proponents are wasting their time, he doesn’t hold back letting them know. If he thinks there’s strong potential, he’ll ask tough questions and poke holes if there are any. He can sometimes lecture, even if his visitors might have more experience than he does with the type of project being discussed.

Enough people found Mr. Hodgson’s bedside manner off-putting, in his first months on the job, that his staff encouraged him to soften it.

But to others, including some who have endured his bluntness, it’s a major virtue – forcing companies to up their game when seeking federal support, giving them a clearer sense than previously of how to get across the finish line, and helping the government figure out which projects really deserve to be fast tracked for permitting or public financing.

And in the eyes of admirers – including, by all accounts, a Prime Minister who counts him as his closest friend and confidant in cabinet – it’s one of the ways that Mr. Hodgson is necessarily reorienting Ottawa’s relationship with resource-based industries on which it’s largely pinning Canada’s hopes for greater economic sovereignty in the face of U.S. aggression.

To get a sense of what that involves, The Globe and Mail interviewed more than 20 people who have interacted with Mr. Hodgson during his seven months in office – including industry leaders, lobbyists and government officials – as well as Mr. Hodgson himself.

What emerged, through descriptions of his dealings with industry and within government, is a picture of a minister who is highly unusual in ways that perfectly align with Mr. Carney’s economic ambitions, yet could pose some risk to them.

Veteran executives who enter government tend to talk about running it more like the private sector, but Mr. Hodgson is proving better positioned and more determined to do so than most.

Less interested than colleagues in Liberal orthodoxy or policy debates, he’s squarely focused on reaching investment deals – including for criticalmineral extraction, oil-and-gas infrastructure and carbon-capture technology that is billed as making it sustainable, and to strengthen electricity grids – at a pace to which Ottawa is unaccustomed.

He’s more accessible than his predecessors to industry and spends less time on the minutiae of his department. He remains so inclined toward Bay Street language that ministry officials half-joke they need to send him term sheets, not briefing notes.

Yet despite his private-sector track record – highlighted by a Goldman Sachs tenure in which he became chief executive officer of its Canadian operations, a stint as managing partner of private investment firm Alignvest Management Corp. and an array of recent board memberships that included chairing Ontario’s Hydro One Ltd. – he has entered Ottawa with limited knowledge of its workings.

His public-sector experience was limited to less than two years as an adviser to Mr. Carney at the Bank of Canada, which is not closely connected to the rest of government. His political experience was virtually non-existent, and he had no known history with the party he is now serving. He’s known among friends to be deeply patriotic, informed by continuing his family’s history of military service before entering business and by charitable work for veterans, but few previously imagined him seeking office.

“I was shocked,” said Jim Leech, the former Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan CEO who is close to Mr. Hodgson. Mr. Leech thought it likelier that Mr. Hodgson, whom he considers a somewhat fiscally conservative political centrist like himself, would ease into retirement, before a sense of duty and the chance to serve with his friend Mr. Carney beckoned.

Already, Mr. Hodgson has encountered potential pitfalls. Among them: running afoul of other Liberals as he steers a de-prioritization of climate goals in favour of re-embracing the oil-and-gas sector, and misaligning the need for speed with getting First Nations support that could make or break projects he’s pursuing.

So, authoritative though he is poring over capital stacks with would-be investors, Mr. Hodgson has been on a steep learning curve when it comes to the demands of public life, and what being a chief dealmaker on the government’s side of the table really entails.

Mr. Hodgson is not especially inclined toward reflecting on that personal journey thus far, at least for public consumption.

Asked at the start of an interview in his office what lessons he’s taken from his first months in Ottawa, he replied with more of an explanation of a governing philosophy that he (like Mr. Carney) has seemingly adopted from the get-go.

“I think what I’ve learned is actually not that different than business: You need to be pragmatic,” he said. “When you come in and you sort of have rigid thinking or ideological rigidness, you miss opportunities to get things done.”

Behind the scenes, however, he has indeed been attempting to improve as he goes along.

That applies, most obviously, to public performance – making the case for the government’s agenda and answering critical questions.

Despite a commanding boardroom presence, he’s not a natural behind a microphone. Delivering introductory speeches to business audiences shortly after entering cabinet, he read from prepared texts in a monotone, occasionally stumbling over words.

He also does not particularly care for performing political theatre. He surprised himself by enjoying knocking on doors in his Greater Toronto Area riding during this year’s election campaign, he said, where largely first-generation Canadians “fully understand this is the greatest country in the world” and counterbalanced the “everything’s broken” grumbling he was hearing in elite circles. But he is sourer on Ottawa’s daily cut-and-thrust.

“Look, I have colleagues who relish the sport of Question Period,” he said. “I find it somewhat disingenuous, and I guess a necessary part of democracy.”

He can also get frustrated by media coverage. Discussing Indigenous relations, he recalled going to a First Nations summit where he felt that the vast majority of chiefs were supportive of his pitch about shared economic prosperity, or open-minded, only for journalists to seek out the small minority who were hostile to it.

Nevertheless, he appeared to recognize from the outset that this was an area of vulnerability and, according to staff, proved more willing than some rookie ministers to undertake media training.

The results have been imperfect. One of the worst moments of his fledgling political career came weeks ago, when he was asked by a TV interviewer about ensuring Indigenous consultation around a potential oil pipeline and replied that “It’s called Zoom.” (He apologized the next day.)

But such flashes of impatience have been less common than might be expected of someone known for them in private. And he has started to make speaking publicly look a little less like a chore.

In the interview for this story, he discussed aspects of his job in some detail without talking himself into trouble. And he managed a dash of folksiness when he brought up how childhood experiences in an Armed Forces family across Canada – in logging and mill towns, in Nova Scotia with kids who’d miss school to work on lobster boats, at a vocational high school where friends went on to oil rigs – help make his current job feel visceral.

A common hope, among allies, is that he’s landing in a sweet spot where he can speak political language well enough to get by while maintaining some plain-spoken outsider appeal.

Corey Hogan, a Liberal MP from Calgary who is a parliamentary secretary to Mr. Hodgson, pointed to a recent parliamentary committee appearance where Mr. Hodgson responded to Conservative badgering with the air of someone accustomed to doing business in the real world, and bemused by his inquisitors’ disinterest in hearing actual answers to their questions.

“His power is he acts like a normal executive in these situations,” Mr. Hogan said.

The rookie minister’s executive instincts were on display, in a different way, as he began his new job.

Government officials who interacted with him immediately following his swearing-in last May were struck by his negativity toward Ottawa’s bureaucratic and political culture – a mindset, common on Bay Street, that the capital was beset by laziness and incompetence.

The impression they got, not entirely different from one conveyed by Mr. Carney, was that Mr. Hodgson viewed himself as an adult who had arrived to cut the nonsense.

At the same time, he also understandably had limited knowledge of government processes or his departmental responsibilities. Before long, he had to lean on some of the same civil servants and political staff to show him the ropes, and learn the levers at his disposal and the complexities of balancing different interests.

There have been some tells, as to recognizing the starting point wasn’t quite as bad as he thought.

One of them has been in how he’s sought to reduce federal-provincial overlap in approving energy and resource investments, and deliver on Mr. Carney’s “one project, one review” campaign promise.

As he boasted in the interview, Ottawa has recently moved in that direction by reaching co-operation agreements with provinces through provisions in the existing Impact Assessment Act – an effort that began under his predecessor, Jonathan Wilkinson. Meanwhile, controversial powers to override normal permitting processes under the Building Canada Act, which the government hurriedly pushed through shortly after Mr. Carney and Mr. Hodgson took over, have yet to be used.

But if his views have softened, he hasn’t abandoned them entirely. Asked whether government is as broken as he thought coming in, Mr. Hodgson homed in on what he sees as an abundance of caution mismatched with the hinge moment that Mr. Carney frequently invokes.

“My observation of government is that the default modality is that not making a decision is less risky than making a decision,” he said, suggesting it’s easier to buy time while waiting for more information.

“We don’t have that luxury. We need to make decisions. We need to retool our economy … And that requires a level of boldness and ambition in government that hasn’t really been there.”

Toward that end, he has (more than many incoming ministers) jettisoned most of the policy staff he inherited from Mr. Wilkinson, who was known as a policy wonk committed to carefully finding the right balance between economic and environmental goals. To replace them, he’s largely sought out young staff who, like him, have more financial than political experience.

Among bureaucrats, meanwhile, word has spread that Mr. Hodgson expects advice sent to him to be quick and to the point, with as many numbers and as little word salad as possible.

That is, if those bureaucrats are engaging with him at all. There are corners of his ministry, including those dedicated primarily to reckoning with aspects the long-term transition to low-carbon energy, that have yet to have much contact with him.

That lack of access, which has prompted some grumbling internally, has not been a complaint from industry – at least sectors such as oil and gas, nuclear, mining and forestry, in which Mr. Carney’s government sees opportunity to leverage existing strengths.

Their members have found Mr. Hodgson as accessible, if brisk, as any minister they can recall.

“He’s clear, he’s blunt and he’s up-front – which is refreshing,” said Explorers and Producers Association of Canada president Tristan Goodman, whose organization represents fossil-fuel extractors outside the oil sands.

How Mr. Hodgson chooses to spend his time points toward his emphasis on the nitty-gritty of reaching specific deals rather than obsessing over broader policy frameworks. Though leveraging his position to nail down investments is also likely a more complex undertaking than when he was in the private sector.

It’s not as though Mr. Hodgson can make snap permitting decisions, many of which don’t even rest with his ministry, when at the table across from project proponents.

And while his meetings tend to focus heavily on the financials, he’s limited in what he can directly do there, too.

The government’s largest vehicles for loans, equity stakes, offtake agreements and other forms of concessional financing to get projects off the ground – including the Canada Growth Fund, Canada Infrastructure Bank and new Indigenous Loan Guarantee Corp. – are all supposed to function with high degrees of independence.

Now in the mix, too, is the Major Projects Office established by Mr. Carney and run out of Calgary by former energy executive Dawn Farrell, which is meant to provide some regulatory and financial co-ordination.

Mr. Hodgson does have some dollars at his disposal, including a $2-billion critical minerals fund in last month’s budget. And there are plenty of projects, particularly in that sector, that are too small to go to the MPO but could collectively add up.

But there are other ways he wields his influence, some formal and some less so.

Among his responsibilities is chairing the Build Canada committee, which Mr. Carney established and which Mr. Hodgson described as cabinet’s main economic committee, responsible for trying to spur $500-billion of investment across sectors.

Among its focuses, he said, is “de-pancaking” regulations (reducing overlap across departments), plus being “a fulcrum for all the different financing tools and a convening forum.”

Build Canada oversees the MPO, and Mr. Hodgson sits on the MPO’s investment committee, so he has some sway over what gets referred there and how the office gets rolling.

His job is partly to serve as the government’s eyes and ears for what potential investments, big and small, are out there. And then there is how he puts his business acumen to use in determining which possibilities are credible – particularly important in mining, as a wide range of companies seek to capitalize on the frenzy to counter China’s critical-minerals dominance.

As for how he tries to make those assessments, and work with proponents to get pitches ready for prime time, Mr. Hodgson invoked the five factors in the Building Canada Act for designating large projects to be in the national interest, which may be instructive of how hard the government tries to advance smaller projects as well.

Boiled down, those criteria include strengthening Canada’s sovereignty, providing economic benefit, having a high likelihood of success, and advancing Indigenous interests and climate-change objectives.

He gave the example of a pair of projects. If “a great proponent” had a projected internal rate of return of 20 per cent, it would seem a slam dunk. If another pencilled out to only an 8 per cent IRR, it might not totally align with the likelihood of success metric. But if it were in something such as rare earths, it could be enough of a strategic priority to try to advance anyway.

In that case, he might try to help figure out which financial tools at the government’s disposal – low-interest lending, equity stakes, money for surrounding infrastructure – might get the rate of return to a more attractive level.

Those conversations would happen with the proponent and within Mr. Hodgson’s department. “I’m kind of like: Hey, how have you thought about it? How have you priced this out? Have you thought through the five criteria and what are the tools to help us get there? And do we think if we’ve referred this to the MPO, they’d be supportive?”

What Mr. Hodgson didn’t say, but others in government observed, is that he will sometimes then try to wield soft power around Ottawa, signalling to other departments and agencies that he thinks targeted dollars could get a desirable project over the line. The same can go for the permitting side. The idea is to get everything moving quickly in lockstep, not slowly in piecemeal fashion.

Such efforts are taken seriously by other ministers and officials, both because of Mr. Hodgson’s expertise and because they know how much Mr. Carney has entrusted him.

But his perceived influence on the government’s agenda could also prove a double-edged sword – including with members of the governing party to which he is a newcomer.

Initially, Mr. Hodgson did not seem terribly concerned about endearing himself to fellow Liberal caucus members, whom he made little secret of considering fortunate to have gotten or kept their jobs by virtue of Mr. Carney’s leadership. He has since worked harder to build bridges, making himself accessible and proving willing to delegate to his parliamentary secretaries, Mr. Hogan and Quebec MP Claude Guay.

There is nevertheless a large fault line running between him and the many Liberal MPs for whom an ambitious agenda to combat climate change is an article of faith.

Mr. Hodgson was not primarily responsible for last month’s memorandum of understanding with Alberta, in which Ottawa agreed to drop or soften several environmental policies put in place under former prime minister Justin Trudeau in return for strengthening industrial carbon pricing, and opened the door to a new oil pipeline. Although he was involved, the negotiations were led by top officials from the Prime Minister’s Office and Privy Council Office.

But while he is the point person for the government’s pursuit of investments in conventional energy, he has not shown quite the same level of enthusiasm for renewable power, and even his admirers in government concede he’s at the leastgreen end of the Liberal spectrum.

One of the corporate boards he sat on was that of oil-sands producer MEG Energy Corp. And asked how he sees Canada’s place in the global energy transition, he spoke almost entirely about fossil fuels, including through advancing (still notional) carbon-capture projects in the oil sands and exporting natural gas as a transition fuel.

As for his message to climate-concerned colleagues, he invoked broader benefits. “If we produce the cleanest, best version of those products, our allies want them,” he said.

“It’s a point of national security, and we can use that revenue to pay for our $10-a-day daycare, our new dental care program and our school lunch programs … or provincially pay for universal health care or subsidized postsecondary education. I think Canadians say, ‘Hey, we should do that.’ ”

On another point of concern for many members of the government, relations with Indigenous leaders and communities, Mr. Hodgson went further out of his way in the interview to signal it as a shared priority. Invoking success during his time chairing Hydro One in partnering with First Nations to build transmission lines, he emphasized the importance of Indigenous participation in all projects while acknowledging he’s still learning countrywide dynamics.

Still, his move-fast approach has already at times seemed an awkward fit with Indigenous leadership’s desire for extensive consultation.

On these and other potential tension points, Mr. Hodgson seemingly has Mr. Carney’s blessing and is doing his bidding. But a possibility flagged by veterans of Liberal politics is that he could become a lightning rod for caucus members reluctant to challenge their leader and wanting someone else to blame for a rightward shift.

It’s unlikely that danger is keeping Mr. Hodgson up at night. Based on all available accounts, he holds no great political ambitions, is in Ottawa because Mr. Carney asked him, and will judge himself primarily by how many deals he gets done in whatever time he has there.

It’s too early for him or anyone else to pass that judgment.

There have been initial signs of success, mostly around minerals, highlighted by investments in six mining and processing projects in Ontario and Quebec announced on the margins of a G7 summit this fall. But most of the other, larger projects referred to the MPO thus far were in the works before Mr. Carney and Mr. Hodgson took office.

By the standards they’ve set for themselves, the real test will be how much, and how quickly, the deal flow picks up in 2026 and beyond. And if the chief dealmaker offends some sensibilities along the way, so be it.

“What the Prime Minister has said, which I’ve taken to heart,” Mr. Hodgson said, “is that we need to focus on outcomes, not how we get there.”

Ontario, Ott­awa to speed up project approvals

This article was written by David Baxter and was published in the Toronto Star on December 19, 2025.

Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney and Ontario Premier Doug Ford have signed an agree­ment to speed up the approval of major projects in the province under a “one project, one pro­cess, one decision” model.

This approach means that projects that would have been sub­ject to envir­on­mental assess­ments at both the fed­eral and pro­vin­cial levels will now go through Ontario’s pro­cess alone when the project is loc­ated primar­ily within the province.

“It’s time for Canada to build big things again. And nowhere will the impact of this deal be felt more imme­di­ately than in the devel­op­ment of the Ring of Fire,” Ford told a Ott­awa press con­fer­ence Thursday.

Car­ney said projects will use the fed­eral pro­cess when Ott­awa has primary jur­is­dic­tion and a mixed assess­ment sys­tem when they fall under shared jur­is­dic­tion.

“That will make approvals more effi­cient, deliv­er­ing major projects faster while main­tain­ing both fed­eral and pro­vin­cial stand­ards,” Car­ney said. “By work­ing together, we will work with the same inform­a­tion, we will have the same timelines, and we will respect each other’s jur­is­dic­tions.”

The prime min­is­ter said in French that the fed­eral gov­ern­ment is nego­ti­at­ing sim­ilar deals with Man­itoba and Prince Edward Island. Car­ney added he wants to get sim­ilar deals in place with every province.

The Ontario agree­ment also con­tains lan­guage that sets a dead­line for the Impact Assess­ment Agency of Canada to com­plete its review of roads to planned min­ing projects in the Ring of Fire region of north­ern Ontario by June 2026.

The Ring of Fire is home to major crit­ical min­eral depos­its and the pro­vin­cial and fed­eral gov­ern­ments see it as a major eco­nomic driver.

Guil­beault could be leader Greens need

Steven Guilbeault offers the Greens a real solution as leader — a bona fide climate activist with a seat in Parliament, John Lorinc writes.

This article was written by John Lorinc and was published in the Toronto Star on December 18, 2025.

Since we’ve all been talk­ing about floor cross­ing, here’s my ques­tion: why doesn’t Lib­eral MP, and now former cab­inet min­is­ter, Steven Guil­beault, cross the floor of the House of Com­mons to join Eliza­beth May’s Green Party, which needs a dose of renewal in the worst way?

Two weeks ago, after Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney announced his rap­proche­ment with Alberta, Guil­beault, then serving as cul­ture min­is­ter and Que­bec lieu­ten­ant, took the prin­cipled decision to resign from cab­inet, know­ing his gov­ern­ment’s actions with respect to pipelines and fed­eral cli­mate policy no longer aligned with his beliefs about global warm­ing.

As he wrote in these pages shortly after he resigned, “I view the latest fed­eral­pro­vin­cial energy deal as a sig­ni­fic­ant step back­wards in the fight against cli­mate change — that it is in fact a fire sale rather than a grand bar­gain. The Canada­Alberta MOU aban­dons sev­eral key meas­ures that were painstak­ingly mod­elled, con­sul­ted on, nego­ti­ated and imple­men­ted or pro­posed over the last dec­ade.”

Guil­beault arrived in national polit­ics after a high­pro­file career as an envir­on­mental act­iv­ist with Green­peace, his out­look align­ing well with former prime min­is­ter Justin Trudeau’s.

As envir­on­ment and cli­mate change min­is­ter from 2021 to 2025, Guil­beault drove an ambi­tious agenda that included ele­ments such as the clean fuel reg­u­la­tions and Canada’s first long­term emis­sions reduc­tion plan aimed at redu­cing Canada’s green­house gases to net zero by 2050.

He, of course, had to answer for some of the gov­ern­ment’s polit­ic­ally unpop­u­lar decisions, includ­ing the acquis­i­tion of the TMX pipeline and the deluge of cri­ti­cism from the oilp­atch about Ott­awa’s envir­on­mental assess­ment pro­cesses, widely seen in West­ern Canada as an effort to deter invest­ment in nat­ural resource extrac­tion. Such are the trade­offs of power.

Once Car­ney took office, however, it quickly became pretty obvi­ous that a high­pro­file Trudeau­adja­cent envir­on­ment­al­ist like Guil­beault would not sur­vive for long. Yes, Car­ney’s nation­build­ing agenda ges­tures at cli­mate policy, and the prime min­is­ter him­self has a long his­tory of advoc­at­ing for cli­mate fin­ance in his vari­ous post-Bank of Canada roles. But given the four­dimen­sional chess match that defines polit­ics in 2025 — Trump, Poil­ievre, a minor­ity Par­lia­ment, a highly vul­ner­able eco­nomy, global secur­ity spasms etc. — Car­ney & Co. have opted to kick Ott­awa’s cli­mate agenda down the road, cit­ing, repeatedly, the need to start build­ing again as a way of for­ti­fy­ing Canada’s pub­lic ser­vices and stand­ard of liv­ing.

Polit­ics is about choices, and Cana­dians will have the oppor­tun­ity to judge whether Car­ney jumped on the right horse. Yet in his gov­ern­ment’s shift to the polit­ical middle gen­er­ally, and the polit­ical right when it comes to cli­mate policy, I’d argue there’s a grave risk that voters are not hear­ing enough about the envir­on­mental costs of these decisions.

Dur­ing the budget debate, Eliza­beth May extrac­ted a ques­tion period answer from the prime min­is­ter about Ott­awa’s dir­ec­tion, which seems, well, inad­equate. I’d like to hear more push­back and strenu­ous policy debate, espe­cially when it comes to enga­ging with Ott­awa’s emer­ging energy policy choices and their long­term con­sequences for Canada’s eco­nomy.

Case in point: a Septem­ber essay in For­eign Policy Magazine pos­ited a loom­ing “eco­lo­gical cold war,” in which the win­ners — China and its satel­lites/cli­ents — were those nations that had bet hard on the energy trans­ition and renew­ables. The coun­tries that remained depend­ent on fossil fuels (the U.S., Rus­sia and their respect­ive satel­lites), argued Nils Gil­man, of the L.A.­based think tank Berg­gruen Insti­tute, would exper­i­ence eco­nomic decline and geo­pol­it­ical instabil­ity. Guess which side we’re on?

This is a view I’d like to have artic­u­lated in our national debates, and Guil­beault, by vir­tue of his expert­ise and back­ground, is excep­tion­ally well­posi­tioned to make that case. Except that he can’t, because he’s now a back­bencher in a gov­ern­ment that has chosen a dif­fer­ent path.

From where I sit, he could not only join the Greens but provide a much­needed boost to a party that should be punch­ing well above its cur­rent weight class (one sit­ting MP). For years, the fed­eral Greens have been mired in a gong show suc­ces­sion pro­cess, with the res­ult that their vote share and seat share has shif­ted into reverse, even as the signs of the cli­mate crisis become more and more dif­fi­cult to ignore.

Some of this absurd water­tread­ing is due to the party’s weird internal struc­ture and con­sti­tu­tion, with its pro­vi­sions for “co­lead­ers.” But all those inside­base­ball shenanigans about select­ing lead­ers have done a huge dis­ser­vice to the broader vot­ing pub­lic, a por­tion of whom want to see Canada adopt a more robust approach to the cli­mate crisis and the largely untapped eco­nomic oppor­tun­it­ies afforded by invest­ment in cli­mate action. As long as the fed­eral Greens flounder, those voters have to look else­where. For a while, that else­where was the Trudeau Lib­er­als. Those days are gone.

Guil­beault is the genu­ine art­icle — a bona fide cli­mate act­iv­ist with a seat in Par­lia­ment. I’d like to see Guil­beault seize this moment and cast his lot with a party that des­per­ately needs its own energy trans­ition.

Ontario and Ottawa to finalize a deal to cut red tape, speed up Ring of Fire road

This article was written by Jeff Gray and Laura Stone, and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 18, 2025.

A helicopter moves fuel between work sites near the Ring of Fire mineral deposit in Northern Ontario in October. Ontario Premier Doug Ford has made a push to extract critical minerals from the Ring of Fire a central theme for years.

Prime Minister Mark Carney and Ontario Premier Doug Ford will finalize a deal on Thursday to cut red tape for mines and other major projects − with a side agreement that could allow preliminary work to begin next year on a road to the remote Ring of Fire area.

A draft of the overall deal, unveiled last month, is similar to agreements with Manitoba, Prince Edward Island and British Columbia, which signed its accord in 2019. The arrangements allow Ottawa to defer to provincial processes for environmental assessments and Indigenous consultations for major projects that fall under the purview of its Impact Assessment Act, with an eye to reducing duplication.

Ottawa and Ontario will also formally unveil a Nov. 24 letter sent to the Ontario government by the head of the federal Impact Assessment Agency of Canada (IAAC) that says it could wrap up its reviews of segments of the proposed Ring of Fire road by June, 2026, and allow some preliminary work to start, three years earlier than Queen’s Park had expected.

A provincial government source confirmed that the deals would be formally announced at an event in Ottawa on Thursday. The Globe and Mail is not naming the source, as they were not authorized to speak about the event publicly. Audrey Champoux, a spokeswoman for the Prime Minister’s Office, declined to comment on the deal on Wednesday.

Despite the agreements, mining in the Ring of Fire − an expanse of muskeg about 500 kilometres north of Thunder Bay − remains many years away. A completed environmental assessment for the final segment of the road into the Ring of Fire is still expected to take another three years, and construction could take a decade or more. Ontario has repeatedly asked Ottawa to help with the cost, which could be close to $2-billion.

Mr. Ford has made a push to extract critical minerals from the Ring of Fire a central theme for years. Recently, his government has pitched the Ring of Fire as an economic imperative in the face of U.S. tariffs.

But the plans have faced vocal opposition from some First Nations and environmental groups, lengthy environmental assessments and a federal regional impact assessment on the overall potential effects of mining in the area, which Mr. Ford has demanded be scrapped.

Even with the deals to be announced Thursday, Mr. Ford would not rule out using the new powers his government has granted itself in legislation known as Bill 5. The law, similar to Mr. Carney’s legislation for fast-tracking infrastructure known as Bill C-5, sparked condemnation from First Nations when it was passed earlier this year.

Ontario’s law allows the province to designate temporary “special economic zones,” where it could suspend any provincial or municipal law to speed up a project. The Premier had previously suggested he would designate the Ring of Fire as such a zone “as soon as possible.” He said Wednesday such a zone could still be needed in the region.

“Absolutely, because it moves things along a lot quicker. And we have to cut out red tape and regulations,” he said at an unrelated announcement in Toronto.

Two small First Nations near the Ring of Fire − Marten Falls and Webequie − have signed co-operation agreements with Ontario and support the project. They have led the years-long environmental assessments for segments of the road themselves. Mr. Ford said Wednesday he hoped development in the region would help young people in these communities.

Marten Falls Chief Bruce Achneepineskum said he hoped the latest deal between Ontario and Ottawa would reduce duplication between his own First Nation’s environmental assessments and the federal regional impact assessment, which includes 15 local First Nations, some of which oppose mining in the Ring of Fire.

“For us, it just meant sometimes, a rehashing of the same old studies that we are already doing,” Mr. Achneepineskum said in an interview. “I think that’s what Ontario and the feds are agreeing on.”

But he also said he supports that federal regional assessment, which he said could take another three years, adding that the other First Nations have a right to make their voices heard.

The letter on the Ring of Fire from IAAC, signed by president Terence Hubbard, says this federal regional review will continue but will not affect timelines for the road projects or “create any obligations on Ontario.”

Alvin Fiddler, grand chief of the Nishnawbe Aski Nation, an umbrella group of 49 Northern Ontario Indigenous communities, said it’s disappointing that an agreement was made between Ontario and Canada “regarding our lands, and we had very little input into the process.”

Marten Falls and Webequie are members of the Nishnawbe Aski Nation, which also includes First Nations that oppose the Ring of Fire push. Mr. Fiddler, a critic of Mr. Ford’s Bill 5, said he respects the autonomy of Webequie and Marten Falls but that the Nishnawbe Aski Nation wants to have its say as well.

“We’re not opposed to streamlining any process, as long as it does not diminish any environmental protections that are there now, or that it does not diminish our rights,” he said.

Why the Prime Minister’s pro-oil pivot isn’t turning off Canadians

This article was written by Tony Keller and was published in the Globe & Mail on December 16, 2025.

Canada creates 1.4 per cent of global emissions, versus more than 29 per cent for China. Since 2005, Canada’s emissions are down 8.5 per cent – behind schedule for a 40-per-cent drop by 2030.

How are the Liberals winning by promising to undo what they once promised to do, which itself was once a winner?

Timing is everything.

The Liberals won a series of elections under Justin Trudeau in part by promising to significantly lower carbon emissions, and offering a more credible plan than their Conservative opponents. That plan, headlined by consumer carbon pricing, helped boost support for the Liberals and drain support from the Conservatives, particularly among swing voters in suburban Canada, in federal elections in 2015, 2019 and 2021. Carbon pricing was, at least in theory, quite popular.

But in 2025, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals won on a platform headlined by a promise to scrap the consumer carbon price – a promise that was also very popular.

And Mr. Carney last month signed an agreement with Alberta that aims to boost Canadian oil production and ensure the building at least one more major pipeline to tidewater, to maximize the economic benefits of added oil production. A Nanos Research poll suggests the approach is popular – even though it’s a reversal of the Trudeau Liberal policy of effectively limiting the output of Canada’s oil industry.

What gives? How are the Liberals winning by promising to undo what they once promised to do, which itself was once a winner?

Because that was then, and this is now.

A decade ago, the federal consumer carbon tax was theoretical. It was presented as an issue of values, and discouraging pollution by asking polluters to pay. At first, the tax was so low that it was hard to notice. But the more it rose, moving from a promised future benefit to a visible present cost, the less voters liked it.

A thing that had once lifted Liberal popularity became a millstone. By 2024, the cost of the consumer fuel levy had become highly visible, while future benefits were increasingly confusing and opaque – the opposite of the situation a few years earlier, when the cost of emission reduction was distant and unclear, and talk of benefits was front and centre.

A 2018 poll by Abacus Data, conducted for the pro-carbon pricing Ecofiscal Commission, foretold the path of public opinion.

The poll found that 74 per cent of Canadians were in favour of taking action on climate change – but the 13 other issues the poll offered for consideration ranked as higher priorities.

No other major oil-producing country has a policy of trying to keep oil in the ground, regardless of global demand.

Though most Canadians said they wanted governments to work on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, they also hoped that could happen without increasing their cost of living or weighing on the economy.

The Abacus poll was taken at a time when federal carbon pricing had not yet come into effect. It was still an abstraction, with no costs attached. Within a few years, however, the matter had turned into one involving real costs and trade-offs.

I supported the consumer carbon tax and its design as a revenue-neutral levy rebated back to taxpayers. But as it moved from theory to reality – as consumers learned that they were the “polluters” who would be paying – public opinion shifted.

And the re-election of U.S. President Donald Trump, bringing in its wake a year-long campaign of economic threats and actual harms, has led a worried Canadian public to question the logic of other policies that explicitly or implicitly hamstring our oil-and-gas industry.

As the 2018 poll suggested, Canadians care about carbon emissions, but they also care about other things. Some of those other things – such as the economy and the health of their own finances – were a higher priority then, and remain so today.

The trade-offs weren’t as apparent then, but they are now.

Asked if they were in favour of building an oil pipeline to the north coast of B.C., “even if the province of British Columbia opposes it,” a majority of Canadians surveyed by Nanos between Nov. 29 and Dec. 2 were supportive – including a majority of British Columbians.

No other major oil-producing country has a policy of trying to keep oil in the ground, regardless of global demand. There does not appear to be a tide of public opinion demanding that Canada bear the high economic cost of being the lone outlier.

Canadians are also more than vaguely aware that even if we were to shut down our entire oil industry, the impact on global carbon emissions would be a rounding error. Just 1.4 per cent of global emissions come from Canada, compared with more than 29 per cent for China. Since 2005, Canada’s emissions have fallen by 8.5 per cent. That’s behind schedule on the goal of achieving a 40-per-cent drop by 2030. But since 2005, China’s emissions have roughly doubled.

The average Canadian doesn’t want emission rules entirely scrapped, or emission targets entirely ignored. But life is about trade-offs, as are economics and politics. Mr. Carney may have found not just an economic sweet spot, but a political one. It could be the modern Canadian equivalent of Richard Nixon going to China.

Nixon’s long-standing anti-Communism reassured American voters suspicious of opening relations with the People’s Republic. Mr. Carney’s long-standing support for emission reductions gives middle-of-the-road suburban voters reason to believe that he can be trusted to keep an eye on the environment – even as he puts more emphasis on the economic benefit of producing and exporting more Canadian oil.

Some fear end­ing tanker ban will lead to dis­astrous res­ults

Deal between Ott­awa, Alberta would see ships nav­ig­ate dan­ger­ous waters

A tanker fills up last month in Kitimat, B.C., one of two ports that could be involved in a federal pipeline deal with Alberta.

This article was written by Ryan Tumilty and was published in the Toronto Star on December 15, 2025.

For most of the year, you can find Kevin Smith at the helm of his com­pany’s 92­foot sail­boat, the Maple Leaf, guid­ing the cen­tury­old lux­ury yacht around Haida Gwaii to show tour­ists the spe­cial place he has long called home.

But this time of year, Smith’s tour­ism com­pany, Maple Leaf Adven­tures, keeps its three ships in port.

“There’s a really good reason that we don’t try to run our trips and our ships in Novem­ber, Decem­ber, Janu­ary, Feb­ru­ary,” he said.

That reason appeared in the fore­cast last week as Envir­on­ment Canada issued a red warn­ing about strong winds with hur­ricanes­trength gusts on the Hec­ate Strait, a notori­ous stretch of water between Haida Gwaii and the B.C. main­land.

A deal between the fed­eral Lib­er­als and Alberta’s gov­ern­ment opens the door to allow­ing oil tankers on those same waters where Smith is tak­ing tour­ists to view whales and the land­scapes of the Great Bear Rain­forest, cre­at­ing a polit­ical storm along­side the real one.

Many B.C. Lib­er­als have expressed ser­i­ous reser­va­tions about end­ing the tanker ban, and the Con­ser­vat­ives attemp­ted to wedge those MPs last week with a motion sup­port­ing a pipeline to the B.C. coast and end­ing the morator­ium — a motion that was ulti­mately defeated.

The cur­rent oil tanker ban became law in 2019, but an informal morator­ium had exis­ted for dec­ades. The law pre­vents oil tankers from dock­ing, load­ing or unload­ing any­where on the B.C. coast north of the tip of Van­couver Island.

Amer­ican tankers trav­el­ling from Alaska to Cali­for­nia pass out­side the Hec­ate Strait in the open ocean on the west coast of Haida Gwaii.

A 1992 Envir­on­ment Canada guide­book described the Hec­ate Strait as the most dan­ger­ous body of water in Canada, a fact reg­u­larly cited by oppon­ents of tanker traffic.

Trans­port Canada did not con­firm whether is still its view, but the water­ways along the north coast fea­ture strong waves, viol­ent storms and power­ful cur­rents. Ships approach­ing the shoreline must take on exper­i­enced local pilots under exist­ing laws, and there have been sink­ings in the area.

The pipeline Alberta is pitch­ing would carry oil from the oils­ands to either the Port of Prince Rupert or the Port of Kitimat, both of which are covered by the exist­ing tanker ban. The pipeline project has no pro­ponent and no route, but the Alberta gov­ern­ment is still shep­herd­ing it through reg­u­lat­ory hurdles and is expec­ted to sub­mit it to the fed­eral major projects office next year. Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney agreed in the deal with Alberta to amend the tanker ban if neces­sary to allow a project to pro­ceed.

Smith said he has no doubt tanker crews would be well­trained pro­fes­sion­als, but even skilled sail­ors face fail­ures and sud­den weather shifts on the north coast.

“You get two or three of those things hap­pen­ing on one bad day and now you’ve got an impossible situ­ation,” he said. “It’s just the per­fect storm of the wrong situ­ations for these really large ships.”

After dec­ades on the water, Smith has rid­den out count­less storms. His ves­sels, he said, are small enough to tuck into sheltered anchor­ages when the wind turns dan­ger­ous. Oil tankers, he noted, simply can­not do that.

Smith said, while the Strait is dan­ger­ous, that is not what most con­cerns him. He said get­ting to the open water would be the chal­lenge for any tanker and it’s where he believes a cata­strophe would hap­pen.

“There are rocks and reefs and shoals on every single one of the entrances that they’re pro­pos­ing using,” he said. “Whether it’s Kitimat or Prince Rupert it doesn’t mat­ter, there’s rocks and reefs and shoals before you can get out to the more open water of Hec­ate Strait.”

Smith said the beauty of north­ern B.C. can’t be replaced if an oil tanker crashes caus­ing cata­strophic dam­age.

“I’m pas­sion­ate about this coast. I lead trips here. Myself and my 70odd employ­ees all rely on the beauty of this coast for our live­li­hood.”

Alberta’s pro­posal is expec­ted to be sim­ilar to Enbridge’s North­ern Gate­way project, which the Trudeau gov­ern­ment can­celled in 2016. That pro­posal would have seen as many as 250 tankers dock at Kitimat every year to carry Alberta bitu­men to Asia. Those ships, weigh­ing as much as 320,000 tonnes, would have trav­elled down the Douglas Chan­nel from Kitimat to the Hec­ate Strait before head­ing out to the open ocean.

If Alberta pro­poses Prince Rupert as a port instead, ships will head more dir­ectly through Dixon Entrance, a stretch of water north of Haida Gwaii that is also known for high winds and waves.

In 2012, mul­tiple gov­ern­ment agen­cies, includ­ing Trans­port Canada, the Coast Guard, and Envir­on­ment Canada, reviewed Enbridge’s pro­posal and found it exceeded exist­ing safety stand­ards, but they did not con­clude the project was without danger.

“While there will always be resid­ual risk in any project, after review­ing the pro­ponent’s stud­ies and tak­ing into account the pro­ponent’s com­mit­ments, no reg­u­lat­ory con­cerns have been iden­ti­fied,” the report said.

Enbridge prom­ised only newer, double­hulled oil tankers would be used. Ships would face reg­u­lar inspec­tions and would have tug­boat escorts and exper­i­enced local pilots to bring them in safely.

The com­pany found that as ports, either Prince Rupert or Kitimat could be used, but they found get­ting the pipeline to Prince Rupert would mean tra­vers­ing steep moun­tains and nar­row val­leys.

“Pipelines con­struc­ted along these rivers would be exposed to chal­len­ging hydro­tech­nical issues and to ava­lanches and rock slides in the nar­row val­leys,” reads the com­pany’s applic­a­tion.

In 2023, Norm Hann exper­i­enced the power of the Hec­ate Strait up close, tra­vers­ing the width of the chan­nel on a stand­up paddle­board.

Hann, who runs a com­pany offer­ing stand­up paddle­board tours, said find­ing weather calm enough for him and another boarder to cross the strait was nearly impossible.

“We looked at it every sea­son for 10 years and it was only a hand­ful of days you might have been able to cross on a paddle board.”

Hann said while they had clear weather for his trip across, they dealt with power­ful cur­rents that cut the speed he can usu­ally travel sud­denly in half. Hann said the weather around Haida Gwaii is in a con­stant state of change.

He pro­tested Enbridge’s plans a dec­ade ago said he still opposes tankers, because one day something will go wrong.

Gaag­wiis, pres­id­ent of the Haida Nation, said the risk is just too great because a spill does irre­vers­ible dam­age.

“Zero risk is something that is impossible. There is no way to clean up an oil spill,” he said at a press con­fer­ence in Ott­awa where he also opposed the Con­ser­vat­ives motion. “We need to do everything we can to keep the crude oil out of those areas because of the fact that there is no way to avoid the risk.”

Coastal first nations includ­ing the Haida oppose any relax­a­tion of the tanker ban’ Gaag­wiis said it’s a mat­ter of pro­tect­ing their eco­nomy.

“We sur­vive off of what the ocean provides so pro­tect­ing the coast means also pro­tect­ing thou­sands of jobs and hun­dreds of busi­nesses and bil­lions of dol­lars in eco­nomic value,” he said at a press con­fer­ence in Ott­awa Tues­day.

We need to do everything we can to keep the crude oil out of those areas because of the fact that there is no way to avoid the risk.

GAAGWIIS PRESIDENT OF HAIDA NATION

Kevin Smith sails tour­ists around Haida Gwaii in B.C., an area that sees dan­ger­ous storms in the winter months that he says could pose a threat to oil tankers tra­vers­ing the waters.

Con­ser­vat­ives, Lib­er­als spar over pipeline deal

Tory leader says PM doesn’t want to build Alberta­to­B.C. project

This article was written by Alex Ballingall and was published in the Toronto Star on December 10, 2025.

A par­tisan brouhaha over pipelines took over the House of Com­mons on Tues­day as the Lib­eral gov­ern­ment grappled with Con­ser­vat­ive attempts to paint it as an anti­devel­op­ment admin­is­tra­tion unwill­ing to sup­port choice bits of its own energy accord with oil­rich Alberta.

At issue was a non­bind­ing motion put forth by Con­ser­vat­ive Leader Pierre Poil­ievre, who chided and ridiculed the gov­ern­ing Lib­er­als on Tues­day, alleging their actions would show Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney doesn’t really want a con­tro­ver­sial new pipeline built through north­ern Brit­ish Columbia to the Pacific coast. The project that would require lift­ing a ban on oil tankers that local First Nations and the pro­vin­cial gov­ern­ment insist must stay.

But Lib­er­als respon­ded by accus­ing Poil­ievre of advan­cing a juven­ile ploy to score polit­ical points with a motion that pur­posely left out ele­ments of the memor­andum of under­stand­ing (MOU) with Alberta the Con­ser­vat­ives don’t sup­port, such as stronger indus­trial car­bon pri­cing. The motion was defeated Tues­day even­ing, with the Lib­er­als join­ing the oppos­i­tion Bloc Québécois and NDP in reject­ing it.

“A memor­andum of under­stand­ing is not à la carte,” Car­ney said in French earlier Tues­day, in the Com­mons. “You must eat the entire meal, not only the meat.”

Throughout the day, Lib­eral cab­inet min­is­ters and MPs accused the oppos­i­tion Con­ser­vat­ives of hijack­ing pro­ceed­ings in the House to play polit­ical games. Nat­ural Resources Min­is­ter Tim Hodg­son described it as a “cheap polit­ical stunt.”

Shortly after­wards, Poil­ievre tried to increase pres­sure on the Lib­er­als by chan­ging the motion in what he billed as a “good faith” bid to broaden its appeal. He added to the motion ref­er­ences to the MOU’s sup­port for the major Path­ways Alli­ance car­bon cap­ture project, as well as the need to ensure Indi­gen­ous con­sulta­tion and co­own­er­ship of a new pipeline, along with engage­ment with the B.C. gov­ern­ment that so far opposes the pro­posal.

“As we know with Lib­er­als, they often start by mak­ing prom­ises and then they go to mak­ing excuses,” Poil­ievre said.

“I’m going to help brush away those excuses for them. We’re going to amend our own motion in order to include the things the Lib­er­als claim we left out.”

Lib­er­als, however, stuck to their oppos­i­tion, in part because the amended motion still excluded parts of the MOU, like the agree­ment to work on changes to indus­trial car­bon pri­cing.

Poil­ievre decry­ing that policy Tues­day as a “massive, crip­pling car­bon tax.”

Poil­ievre also ques­tioned the Lib­eral logic, say­ing it makes no sense to cham­pion an accord with Alberta and be reluct­ant to sup­port any single part of it.

From the gov­ern­ment benches, Lib­eral MP Corey Hogan — who rep­res­ents a rid­ing in Cal­gary and is par­lia­ment­ary sec­ret­ary to the nat­ural resources min­is­ter — accused Poil­ievre of show­ing a lack of ser­i­ous­ness as a polit­ical leader.

“The very point” of his motion, Hogan charged, is to cre­ate divi­sion inside the gov­ern­ing party’s caucus. But he argued that it will simply cre­ate doubt about whether a new pipeline is pos­sible, dam­aging the very goal the Con­ser­vat­ives have lauded for years.

“Rather than put­ting nation over party, they have put party over nation. To them, the motion is solely and exclus­ively a polit­ical strategy, because it serves no other pur­pose,” Hogan said.

Yet the gov­ern­ment’s accord with Alberta has touched off con­cerns inside the Lib­eral caucus about a back­track­ing on fed­eral cli­mate policies. Hodg­son was at pains Tues­day to paper over those con­cerns, claim­ing to report­ers that — des­pite plain evid­ence to the con­trary — all of the party’s MPs sup­port the agree­ment.

Pressed by journ­al­ists if that applies to the whole group of MPs, Hodg­son replied, “Yes.”

But there are clear state­ments from some mem­bers of the Lib­eral caucus that they don’t sup­port the entire agree­ment. Steven Guil­beault, a Que­bec MP and long­time envir­on­ment­al­ist, resigned from Car­ney’s cab­inet because of his oppos­i­tion to the deal.

Vic­toria MP Will Greaves told Chek News on Van­couver Island last month that “I’m not sup­port­ive of a new pipeline. I’m very skep­tical that there’s a busi­ness case to be made.”

Toronto MP Nath­aniel Ersk­ineSmith has also cri­ti­cized the accord, say­ing Ott­awa “gave up a lot — too much, prob­ably, for any short­term peace. It rep­res­ents cli­mate back­slid­ing and a dis­trac­tion from the ambi­tion we need.”

And Patrick Weiler, a Lib­eral MP from Van­couver, has described the agree­ment in a video on social media as a “big set­back” for cli­mate policy.

The Assembly of First Nations has also called on the gov­ern­ment to pull out of the deal, arguing it flies in the face of the need to obtain “free, prior and informed con­sent” from Indi­gen­ous Peoples.

The agree­ment includes fed­eral sup­port for at least one new oil pipeline car­ry­ing at least one mil­lion bar­rels of Alberta oil per day for export to Asian mar­kets. It ties fed­eral back­ing for such a project to the Path­ways car­bon cap­ture project.

At the same time, the agree­ment com­mits Alberta and Ott­awa to work­ing on a new deal on indus­trial car­bon pri­cing, to increase the “effect­ive” price from below $20 per tonne of emis­sions to $130 per tonne.

The agree­ment also sees Ott­awa scrap­ping the planned reg­u­lat­ory cap on emis­sions from the oil and gas sec­tor, sus­pends incom­ing clean elec­tri­city reg­u­la­tions pending a deal on an altern­ate, and waters down a require­ment for industry to reduce emis­sions of the potent green­house gas, meth­ane.